Euro 2024 Betting Picks: Switzerland a Value Underdog Bet vs. Italy

Switzerland vs. Italy Game Information

• Game: Switzerland (1-2-0) vs Italy (1-1-1)
• Location: Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany
• Day/Time: Saturday, June 29, 12 p.m. ET
• Switzerland vs. Italy Live Stream: FuboTV

A spot in the Euro 2024 quarter-finals will be at stake when Switzerland and Italy lock horns at Olympiastadion on Saturday evening.

Switzerland enjoyed solid performances in the group stages, beating Hungary and sharing the spoils with Scotland and Germany. They are surely capable of claiming a major scalp in the last 16. Mainz defender Silvan Widmer serves a one-game ban, while there are no fresh injury worries in the home team.

Italy, on the other hand, booked their place in the knockout stages thanks to Mattia Zaccagni’s late goal against Croatia, but they will have a big fish to fry against Granit Xhaka and Co. Surprisingly, Switzerland is more of a team than Italy right now, so don’t rush and bet on the Italians just yet.

Bologna defender Riccardo Calafiori is banned for the away team, with Gianluca Mancini likely to step up.

Italy is the favorite to win this match at a +142 betting line. You can watch the game on FOX or stream it on FuboTV on Saturday, June 29 at 12 p.m. ET.

Switzerland vs. Italy Betting Odds

Switzerland vs. Italy Betting Trends

• Both teams have scored in five of the six games involving one of these teams.
• Switzerland has scored in six successive fixtures.
• Italy has scored in 14 of its last 16 competitive games.
• Both teams scored within 90 minutes in eight of Switzerland’s last nine Euro tournament games.
• Switzerland lost just 1 of the last 17 games across all competitions.
• Only one of the previous six head-to-heads between Switzerland and Italy provided three or more goals.
• With five goals in three matches, Switzerland is third in the tournament. On the flip side, Italy has allowed three goals in three matches.

Betting on the Underdog vs. Italy

Italy’s group-stage campaign in this European Championships ended in euphoria, with a stunning 98th-minute Mattia Zaccagni strike picking up a point against Croatia and earning the Azzurri a place in the knockout stages. However, a last-16 meeting against a dangerous Switzerland side on Saturday will demand Italy to quickly rediscover its focus, as the Swiss have again shown they are a force to be reckoned with.

Sunday’s well-deserved draw against Germany showed that Switzerland has the quality to replicate their Euro 2020 performance when the underdogs eliminated favorites France at this stage.

Having played a pivotal role in Italy’s last-second equalizer against Croatia, there will be no place for centre-back Riccardo Calafiori in the starting lineup as he picked up a second yellow card. The Swiss will take advantage of that and try to win in regular time. I don’t see them losing this game, so I will place a bet on the spread and go with Switzerland at +135 odds.

Bet Now! Take Advantage of Short Goals Line

Both teams have scored in all of Switzerland’s Euro 2024 games, while there have been goals at both ends in two of Italy’s three while conceding in all of their fixtures.

Switzerland has scored in six successive fixtures and their attack looks well balanced with Bologna pair Dan Ndoye and Michel Aebischer particularly catching the eye, while star forward Breel Embolo is now fit after playing a bit-part role in the opening games.

Italy’s attack perhaps hasn’t clicked into gear just yet and strikers Gianluca Scamacca and Mateo Retegui are yet to get off the mark. However, the Azzurri have scored in 14 of their last 16 competitive games and should be able to find a way through against Switzerland, who conceded in all their group games.

If you’re betting online and looking for a great value bet, back the Over 2 goals priced at -105. There’s no way we will see fewer than two goals in this game.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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