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Euro 2024 Betting: Why Value Bet Is on France to Cover Spread vs Poland

France hasn’t been firing on all cylinders so far at Euro 2024 and it will be interesting to see if Kylian Mbappe will risk an appearance in the starting lineup for their final Group D clash with Poland. Let’s dig deep and find the best Euro 2024 betting picks to cash in on this match.


Euro 2024 Betting: Why Value Bet Is on France to Cover Spread vs Poland
France's Forward #10 Kylian Mbappe | Odd Andersen / AFP

France vs. Poland Match Information

  • Match: France (1-1-0) vs Poland (0-0-2)
  • Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
  • Day/Time: Tuesday, June 25, 10 p.m. ET
  • France vs. Poland Live Stream: Fubo.tv


France has only failed to make it out of the group stages in just one of their last six appearances at the European Championships and will look to overtake the Netherlands in the top position in Group D with a victory over Poland.

Poland experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 3-1 defeat to Austria, which is yet another reason why I am betting on the star-studded France on Tuesday.

France is the favorite to win the match at -360 betting odds. You can watch the game on FOX or stream it on FuboTV on Tuesday, June 25th, at 12 pm ET.


France vs Poland Betting Odds

-1½ (-122)
+1½ (+102)
Over 3 (EV)
Under 3 (-120)
Over 2½ (+115) | Under 2½ (-145)
Team Total
Over ½ (-115) | Under ½ (-115)


France vs. Poland Betting Tips

  • Poland has conceded five goals in two games in this tournament.
  • Both teams have scored in seven of Poland’s last nine, including both games at this tournament.
  • France beat Poland 3-1 at the World Cup in 2022.
  • France has not conceded in four consecutive outings.
  • France won three and drew one of the last four clashes against Poland.
  • After their first participation in 2008, this will be Poland’s fifth consecutive appearance at the European Championships.


Is France a Surefire Bet Over Poland?

The gulf in quality between these rivals is too big and I can hardly expect anything other than a convincing victory for France on Tuesday. Poland has nothing but pride left to play for and has been struggling to keep things quiet at the back.

The Poles have not kept a clean sheet in four straight outings but shipped five goals in the inaugural two matches at the Euro. France needs a win to stay in contention for first place in the section. They have kept their net untouched in four successive outings, including both games at the Euro.

If you’re betting on EuroCup, back France to cover the spread.



Best Player Prop: Antoine Griezmann to Finally Score

Whether or not Didier Deschamps decides to use Kylian Mbappe, backing Antoine Griezmann to score against Poland is the best value soccer player prop for this clash.

Griezmann had great chances against both Austria and the Netherlands and this is the weakest defensive side in their group. Back him to finally open his tally for this tournament with a goal in their final group game.

If you love betting on player props, you should back Griezmann to find the back of the net.



Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.


Questions Of The Day

Who could score for Poland against France?

Robert Lewandowski is the only player to score a goal for Poland since the turn of the century, but incredibly, none of his four goalscoring Euro appearances have ended in victory. Poland has scored exactly once in seven of their last eight games at the Euro finals.

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