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Euro 2024: Here’s Why Croatia Is a Sneaky Underdog Bet vs Spain

The 2024 edition of the European Championship is finally here! The best 16 teams of the continent collide in what many consider a better tournament than the World Cup, and we’ll get a treat during the group stage with the Spain vs Croatia match.

La Roja is -109 in our sportsbook to win straight up, but don’t underestimate Luka Modric and company, who are used to defying the odds. When analyzing the UEFA Euro odds, this matchup becomes even more intriguing for bettors.

Euro 2024: Here’s Why Croatia Is a Sneaky Underdog Bet vs Spain
Spain's Midfielder #16 Rodri and Croatia's Midfielder #10 Luka Modric / Karim Jaafar, Laurence Griffiths / Afp / Pool

How should we bet on this match? Let’s dig deeper.


Spain vs Croatia Match Information

  • Game: Spain vs Croatia
  • Date: Saturday, Jun 15
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • Location: Olympic Stadium, Berlin
  • Spain vs Croatia Live Stream: Fubo.tv


Lamine Yamal Among Spain’s Rising Stars

Spain is one of the teams that has won the European Championship three times. In fact, La Roja was the last one to win it back-to-back in 2008 and 2012. Jesus Navas is the only returning player from the 2012 squad.

However, the players that are taking the lead of the team are very good, starting with Lamine Yamal, who’s about to turn 17. The winger, who plays for Barcelona, is expected to lead the attacking unit after having a great season, scoring five goals and five assists, but his contribution goes way beyond numbers.

Yamal will be playing alongside Pedri Gonzalez, who’s considered one of the best midfielders in the game. He missed a lot of games due to injury but had a great end to the season.

Spain’s problems have to do with defense. Aymeric Laporte is out for the game against Croatia due to injury, while Robin Le Normand is not back to 100%. Therefore, Nacho Fernandez is expected to start. He just won the La Liga title and the UEFA Champions League with Real Madrid, but some don’t consider him an elite centre-back.

Spain reached the semifinals in 2021. La Roja and Croatia met in the Round of 16 and they didn’t disappoint. The game finished 5-3 in overtime. I don’t expect a similar score on Saturday, but I do expect both teams to score, which is offering a decent -120 soccer betting line.


Spain vs Croatia Betting Tips

  • The last meeting between the two finished with a goalless draw.
  • Spain leads the all-time series 5-2-3.
  • Both scored in five of their previous 10 meetings.
  • The total has gone over 2½ goals in five of their previous 10 encounters.
  • Croatia hasn’t lost in its last six games.
  • Spain wins 54% of halftimes.
  • Croatia averages 1.6 goals against Spain.
  • Spain averages 2.8 goals against Croatia.


Luka Modric’s Last Dance

This is it, the 2024 EURO will be Luka Modric’s last official tournament with Croatia’s national team.

The veteran midfielder is ready to finally take the next step after reaching the final and semifinals in the last two editions of the World Cup. Winning a major tournament with Croatia is the only thing Modric hasn’t done. He’s 38 but plays like a teenager.

Overall, we’re talking about an extremely talented team that also includes Dominik Livakovic, Josko Gvardiol, Mario Pasalic, and Andrej Kramaric, to name a few.

That’s precisely why Croatia at +331 odds is such a tempting deal to include in your soccer picks. Croatia is an experienced team with uncanny depth. Plus, most of the group, including head coach Zlatko Dalic, has been together since 2017, and good chemistry should never be underestimated. Besides reaching at least the semifinals in each of the last two World Cups, Croatia also reached the final of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League.

Croatia didn’t win Group D of the qualifiers, they finished one point behind Turkey, but no other team conceded fewer goals than them with four. That’s why even though I expect both teams to score, I don’t expect the total to go over. I like a 1-1 draw for this one, but if you were looking for an underdog to bet on the 2024 Euro, Croatia is definitely worth the risk.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.



Questions of the Day

What has been Croatia’s best result in the EURO?

The quarterfinals in 1996 and 2008.

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