The group stage of the Champions League concludes this midweek and Group B is on fire with three teams fighting for one last qualification spot. FC Porto hosts Atletico Madrid with both teams expected to go all guns blazing in order to win this clash. Our sportsbook is offering great odds for the goals market.
FC Porto: Strong at Home
From the start of the season, FC Porto won all their home games with the exception of the Champions League clash to Liverpool (5-1). Liverpool is one of the most entertaining teams in Europe, a goal-machine, and it’s normal for a team like Porto to lose against the Reds. Let’s not forget that their best defensive players, Pepe and Chancel Mbemba, missed that game.
A win will guarantee Porto a place in the next round as it is sitting second in the standings before the final match. They are priced at +165 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest soccer odds. Strangely, Porto is the worst attacking team in the group with just three goals scored in five games, with two of the goals being scored on home soil. At home, they scored in every match from the start of the season.
Porto midfielder Mateus Uribe is suspended for this battle due to an accumulation of yellow cards while Pepe is once again ruled out with a muscular problem. Joao Mario and Jesus Manuel Corona are in competition to start at right back for the Portuguese giants.
Even a draw would be good enough for Porto as long as AC Milan doesn’t beat Liverpool on Tuesday, but they can’t afford to sit back and defend against a dangerous Atletico side. The reverse encounter had ended in a goalless draw in Spain, but this won’t happen again because it won’t help them to go further.
Atlético Madrid: Struggling at the Back
It’s strange to see Atletico Madrid concede 16 goals in 15 La Liga games and seven goals in five Champions League games. If you’re betting online, you should know that in the last five seasons they were the best defensive team in Europe and were rock-solid at the back.
They are trailing Real Madrid by 10 points in the Spanish top-flight league, and they are sitting last in the UCL group. This is do-or-die for them, if they don’t win, they are out. Even if they win, they are praying for Liverpool not to lose against AC Milan. This match is a final for them and their European future is on the cards.
We’re going against the odds and going with a value bet for our official pick for this match. The two teams have played in seven Champions League games and all but one have gone under 2½ goals and just two of them have seen both teams scoring. Atletico has been totally out of form lately and is not a team to be backed and add to your soccer picks and parlays.
How is it possible to lose against a team like Mallorca, which won just one game on the road in La Liga? How is it possible to concede two goals in 10 minutes from one of the worst attacking sides in the league (Mallorca)? This is not Diego Simeone’s consistent Atletico. Something must change and this is the game in which they should give their soul and win it. We’re going with the goals market, but we will sprinkle a small stake on an away win at +175.