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Home » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks and Parlays » FC Porto vs Inter Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Hosts Have Won Nine of Last 10 Home Games

Alex Campean by Alex Campean
Mar 13, 2023, 12:32pm ET
in Soccer Picks and Parlays
FC Porto vs Inter Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Inter Milan will head to Estadio do Dragao for the second leg with a narrow one-goal advantage it secured in the first leg against FC Porto. You can live bet on the Champions League action by using our sportsbook.

FC Porto: Great Home Record

Losing has become an unfamiliar feeling this season for FC Porto. The club won its last four fixtures to finish first in Group B before the winter break and won 10 straight matches before slipping up at San Siro.

Porto lost late in the first leg away to Inter, conceding in the 86th minute after going down to 10 men with 12 minutes left to play. However, the club should see the opportunity for a comeback when the pair meets in Porto on Tuesday.

Porto progressed from its two most recent last-16 ties, in 2019 and 2021. While the defense of its 2004 title ended with a 4-2 aggregate loss to Inter Milan at this stage, given their visitors’ recent form, Porto will expect to overturn its deficit.

Porto manager Sergio Conceicao has a few players unavailable for the upcoming game. Gabriel Veron is out due to an ankle injury, while Evanilson and Galeno suffer muscle injuries. In addition, Otavio will be suspended and unable to play in the game. With 22 goals and 12 assists this season across all competitions, Mehdi Taremi is in excellent form and was responsible for the winning goal in the club’s last match against Estoril, so we will include him in our soccer picks and parlays.

Inter Milan: Out of Form

After suffering a disappointing defeat against Spezia in Serie A, Inter Milan will be keen to recover when it takes on Porto. Inter will be looking for a favorable result, and a draw would be enough for it to progress to the quarter-finals. Having won the first leg for only the second time in its last 10 attempts at this stage, the Italian giants will aim to continue a trend of finishing the job in Europe’s premier club competition.

The precedent is not on the Italian club, as it has won just one of its eight matches away to Portuguese sides in the European competitions, losing its last two visits, though not since September 2006 versus Sporting. Inter lost 2-0 at Bayern Munich and conceded three goals in a draw at Barcelona, so its away form in this competition should give Porto a chance. If you’re betting online, you should avoid backing Inter here.

Goalkeeper Andre Onana will return after being rested on Friday, following more criticism of club captain Samir Handanovic for his performance against Spezia. Several players are currently unavailable for selection for Inter Milan boss Simone Inzaghi. Dalbert is out due to a cruciate ligament injury, Joaquin Correa is nursing a hamstring injury, and Milan Skriniar is sidelined with lumbago.

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head

Porto has won nine of its last 10 home games, scoring three times in each of its two games heading into this clash. It also boasts a high-scoring forward, given that Mehdi Taremi has been directly involved in seven goals in six appearances in the Champions League this season, scoring five times.

Inter has won just one of its eight matches away against Portuguese sides in major European competitions. The two teams will meet for the sixth time, with all their previous meetings coming in the Champions League. Inter Milan has a better record in these games, with three wins. Porto has just one win to its name, and one game has ended in a draw.

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Match Information

  • Match: FC Porto (4-0-3) vs Inter Milan (4-1-2)
  • Location: Estadio do Dragao, Porto
  • Day/Time: Tuesday, March 14, 4:00 p.m. ET
  • FC Porto vs Inter Milan Live stream: fubo.tv
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FC Porto vs Inter Milan Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Picks and Prediction

The hosts enter this clash as slight favorites, priced at +160 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest soccer odds, while the goal line is set at 2½.

FC Porto has suffered just one defeat in 10 home games, winning the other nine. Inter is winless in its last three away games, failing to score in two matches. Porto should take advantage of an Inter side that doesn’t have the best European record while the hosts are in storming form at their own ground.

We are backing the hosts to score at least two goals on their own and qualify further in the competitions.

The FC Porto is listed at +160 in our Vegas soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on FC Porto, you have a chance to win $160. Inter Milan is +170, offering a chance to win $170 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives FC Porto a 38.46% chance to win, with Inter Milan at 37.04%.

BET THIS PICK: FC Porto Team Total Over 1½ Goals (+150)

FC Porto vs Inter Milan Match Detail

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Alex Campean

Alex Campean

Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top five European leagues, Champions League and Europa League, and is well known for his “trademark” Alex Classic bet — both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match. He’s very disciplined, following a strict set of rules and having a great bankroll management. He’s our Bundesliga guest and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect and long-term profit. If you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again, winning a bet in the last minute of the game — so never lose hope.

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