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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Visitors Eyeing Fourth Consecutive League Win
Stadio Artemio Franchi will host Saturday’s football game between Fiorentina and AC Milan, the two teams who sit in the opposite halves of the Serie A standings. You can live-bet on the Serie A action by using our sportsbook.
Fiorentina: Back to Winning Ways
Fiorentina has had a miserable start to the year but will seek to reclaim some pride at the Artemio Franchi this weekend. Fiorentina outplayed Verona 3-0 on Monday, but that did not help it climb to the top ten. It is now sitting 12th in the standings with 28 points. Despite being widely acknowledged to be playing decent football, Fiorentina’s inability to score has seen it drop into the bottom half of the table.
The hosts enter this weekend’s clash scoring just over one goal per game on average this Serie A season, which does not bode well against a rejuvenated Milan backline. Vincenzo Italiano has a full squad at his disposal but is unlikely to make many changes from Monday’s trip to Verona. Arthur Cabral may be preferred once again to Luka Jovic, while Josip Brekalo will hope to feature on the wing.
Fiorentina is winless in the last three home games in the Italian top-flight league but managed to find the back of the net in the previous two games. If you’re betting online, you should avoid backing Fiorentina, especially against the top teams in the domestic league.
AC Milan: Rock-Solid
Milan travels to Stadio Artemio Franchi on Saturday, looking to continue its fine form against Fiorentina. After an appalling start to 2023 that saw Milan go seven games without a win, the resurgence is very much on for the Rossoneri. Four consecutive wins in all competitions have seen this weekend’s visitors reclaim third place in the Serie A table with 24 games played.
The Rossoneri are yet to concede since Pioli brought Malick Thiaw into the defense, with four clean sheets in a row across all competitions. However, despite Milan’s defensive improvement, it is looking slightly unconvincing up front. Rafa Leao has now gone eight games without a goal, while Olivier Giroud has bagged just twice since returning from the World Cup.
In recent weeks, the goals have come from a less likely source, with Junior Messias scoring in the last two fixtures, clearly reveling in his new role at wing-back. Zlatan Ibrahimovic made his season debut, and goalkeeper Mike Maignan returned after five months out during an encouraging 2-0 win over Atalanta. With all the stars back in the team we will definitely include AC Milan in our Serie A picks and parlays.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Head-to-Head
Fiorentina’s season record in front of their fans is awful, winning just four in 12 home games and allowing 18 goals in the process. On the other side, AC Milan failed to win three of its last four away games but enters this clash on the back of three consecutive wins, keeping a clean sheet in each one.
AC Milan has lost just once to its weekend hosts in their last six matches.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Match Information
- Match: Fiorentina (7-7-10) vs AC Milan (14-5-5)
- Day/Time: Saturday, March 4th, 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
- Fiorentina vs AC Milan Live Stream: fubo.tv
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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Betting Lines
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Picks and Prediction
The visitors enter this fixture as slight favorites, priced at +150 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest Serie A odds, while the goal line is set at 2½.
AC Milan is the better side. On top of that, it has its first-choice goalkeeper back in the starting lineup, so the club should have the necessary weapons to return home with at least one point. Fiorentina’s record against its opponent is very poor and we don’t expect it to beat an in-form Milan. We’re expecting a low-scoring game but for our official pick, we’re taking AC Milan on a PK.
The Fiorentina is listed at -190 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Fiorentina, you have a chance to win $53. The AC Milan are +155, offering a chance to win $155 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Fiorentinaa a 65.52% chance to win, with AC Milan at 39.22%.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Match Detail
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