Fiorentina vs Sassuolo isn’t the Match of the Week or anything like it. However, the fact that both are eager to return to the winning column makes it very interesting. Plus, the individual matchup between Luka Jovic and Andrea Pinamonti is also very appealing.
The Gigliati dominate the soccer lines thanks to a -140 price, but they only won one of their last four home games. In other words, it’s going to be a close one.
Fiorentina: Should be Doing Better
Prior to the start of the season, Fiorentina were considered one of the top dark horses to win the title. Nevertheless, the Gigliati haven’t met expectations. They currently sit in 10th place with 20 points, 21 out of first place.
Now, their top priority is to finish in the top five, for which the have to start winning on a regular basis. Most recently, they drew 1-1 to Monza. Arthur Cabral scored the opener for the Gigliati, but the defense couldn’t hold, and Carlos Augusto scored the equalizer in the second half. The good news is that Fiorentina finished with 22 shots in total, which means production isn’t an issue.
You know what else isn’t an issue? Depth. Nikola Milenkovic, Giacomo Bonaventura, Luka Jovic, Gaetano Castrovilli, Sofyan Amrabat and Christian Kouame weren’t in the starting lineup to face Monza. Jovic and Amrabat weren’t included because they rejoined the team a bit later after representing Serbia and Morocco in the 2022 World Cup. Both should return to the lineup on Saturday. Considering Jovic is the team’s top scorer with three goals, that should be a morale boost for the team.
The home side is offering a -140 price in the sportsbook to win straight up. Their home record isn’t the best, 3-3-2, but they’ve been considerably better when playing as the host.
Sassuolo: Forgetting How to Win
Sassuolo haven’t won in their last five matches. Most recently, they lost 2-1 to Sampdoria, one of the three teams in the relegation zone, at home. The Neroverdi conceded twice in a three-minute span during the first half. Domenico Berardi reduced the advantage after scoring from the penalty spot in the second half.
That result sent the Neroverdi to 16th place, only seven points away from falling into the relegation zone. That should be motivation enough to go all-in right from the start on Saturday. That, and the fact that they haven’t lost to Fiorentina in their last five meetings.
If Fiorentina have Jovic, Sassuolo have Andrea Pinamonti, who has scored three goals as well. He’s the main reason for you to consider including the visitors in your soccer picks. Well, him and the +375 price that they’re offering since you could win $375 per every $100 wagered on them.
The Neroverdi are 1-2-5 when playing on the road. Their only victory was against Torino, a very similar team to Fiorentina. In fact, the Granata are ninth, two points ahead of Fiorentina.
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 39
- Fiorentina Victories: 19 (54 goals)
- Sassuolo Victories: 13 (35 goals)
- Draws: 7
Last season, Fiorentina managed to overcome a two-goal deficit to drew 2-2 against Sassuolo at home. Considering the Gigliati played with one player less since the 68th minute, that wasn’t a bad result. Later, the Neroverdi won 2-1 at their home thanks to a late goal scored by Gregoire Defrel.
Fiorentina haven’t been able to defeat Sassuolo in their last five meetings. However, if there’s something you can expect from these two, it’s goals. Both scored in those five matches and the total went over 2½ goals four times.
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Match Information
- Match: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 7
- Time: 9 a.m. ET
- Location: Artemio Franchi, Florence
- Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Live Stream: fuboTV
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Betting Lines
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo PIcks & Prediction
I think Fiorentina will get the three points, but not without suffering a little bit, meaning both will score once again. Which is why my betting online recommendation is over 2½ goals at -130. Why will Fiorentina get the three points? First, the Gigliati scored in six of their previous eight home matches. Second, they were able to win a point against Napoli, the team atop the standings, and put up a really good fight against Inter Milan, also a title contender.
The Fiorentina are listed at -140 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Fiorentina , you have a chance to win $71. The Sassuolo are +375, offering a chance to win $375 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Fiorentina a 58.33% chance to win, with Sassuolo at 21.05%.
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Match Detail