Go Big or Go Home
The first leg was a close one, as we predicted, but Deportes Tolima couldn’t get a positive result despite winning possession and taking more shots on target. Flamengo ended up winning 1-0 and now comes in as the huge betting online favorite to advance to the Copa Libertadores quarterfinals.
Not so fast, though. The Burgundy and Gold are unbeaten when playing on the road. That includes having beaten Atletico Mineiro in Belo Horizonte. In other words, you can expect another close match.
Flamengo: Meeting Expectations
First of all, let’s not forget that Flamengo and Palmeiras dominate the soccer lines to win the Copa Libertadores title. Both are atop the odds board thanks to a +300 price. Atletico Mineiro follows them at +500.
Second of all, winning the first leg allowed the Red and Blacks to remain undefeated. Prior to the start of the Round of 16, there were three unbeaten teams, now there are only two: Flamengo and Palmeiras. River Plate lost the first leg to Velez Sarsfield (1-0).
As if that wasn’t enough, we’re talking about the third top scoring team in the tournament. The Red and Blacks average 2.2 goals per game. On the other hand, they allow one goal per game. During the Group Stage, they won all three home games by an 8-2 aggregate, finishing with a clean sheet once.
Flamengo comes in off a 2-1 win over Santos on the road in the Brazilian Serie A. Pedro dos Santos and Gabriel Barbosa were the scorers. Precisely, Dos Santos and Barbosa are one more reason to consider including Flamengo in your soccer picks. Each has scored three goals in the continental tournament.
Deportes Tolima: Nothing to Lose
Unlike Flamengo, Deportes Tolima was never among the favorites to win the title. Therefore, the Burgundy and Gold have nothing to lose. Just like they had nothing to lose when they visited Atletico Mineiro a month ago. They had to win in order to qualify for the Round of 16 and they did 2-1 with a very late goal from Jeison Lucumi.
There’s also the fact that the Burgundy and Gold remain undefeated on the road. Besides defeating Mineiro, they also defeated America-Mineiro, another team from Brazil, 3-2, and drew 2-2 to Independiente del Valle. That’s right, they’ve plenty of experience winning in Brazil.
The visitors will be without Sergio Mosquera, Andres Ibarguen and Anderson Plata due to injury. Nevertheless, unlike Flamengo, they didn’t play last weekend. In other words, they’re well rested and more than ready to go.
Overall, Deportes Tolima only lost two out of its last 10 games on the road. They scored in eight of those games and finished with a clean sheet three times. Regarding the Las Vegas odds, they’re offering a +625 price. You would win $625 per every $100 wager on them.
Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head
The first leg was the first time these two met. Defeating Deportes Tolima 1-0 allowed Flamengo to increase its winning record against Colombian teams to 13-3-3. On the other hand, the Burgundy and Gold fell to 7-5-9 against Brazilian teams.
As mentioned before, the Burgundy and Gold won possession (52 percent) and took more shots on target (5/2). Nevertheless, the Red and Blacks were more effective.
Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima Game Information
- Date: Wednesday
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima Live Stream: fuboTV
Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima Betting Lines
|Flamengo||-1 -130||-220||2½-110o||1½-150o |
|Deportes Tolima||+1 Ev||+625||2½-120u||½-120o |
Flamengo vs Tolima Prediction
Deportes Tolima won’t be easy prey, but I don’t see the Burgundy and Gold pulling off the stunner in Rio de Janeiro. Regarding the Brazilian Serie A, Flamengo is sitting in eighth place. The main reason is that the Red and Blacks have prioritized winning the Copa Libertadores. Last season, they lost the Grand Finale to Palmeiras. Plus, the home side has no major injury concerns. Therefore, our prediction is a close victory for Flamengo, enough for the total to go over.
Score Prediction: Flamengo 2, Deportes Tolima 1