There’s only one team in La Liga that hasn’t lost in its last five matches: Atletico Madrid. As expected, Los Colchoneros come in as the soccer betting favorites to defeat Girona, but Los Rojiblancos are highly motivated after scoring 11 goals in their last three matches. In other words, they won’t be easy prey.
Girona: Aiming for Europe
Prior to the start of the season, Girona’s top priority was to avoid relegation. Now, the club aims to finish in the top six to qualify for a UEFA competition.
Girona lost 3-2 to Getafe on Saturday, despite winning possession with 62% and finishing with seven shots on goal, one more than its rival. But Girona was down 3-0 at the half, meaning we’re talking about a feisty squad.
Prior to that, the club defeated Almeria 6-2 and Athletic Bilbao 3-2. Almeria defeated Barcelona last week, while Athletic Bilbao is one of the four teams in the Copa del Rey Semifinals. In other words, Girona isn’t afraid of anything or anyone.
You should keep an eye on Valentin Castellanos, who’s the team’s top scorer with seven goals in all competitions. The former New York City FC player is the main reason for you to consider including the home side in your soccer picks.
There’s also the fact that Girona has been considerably better when playing at home, thanks to a 6-3-3 record. On the other hand, the club is 2-3-7 when playing on the road.
Atletico Madrid: Goal Fest
Since Diego Simeone took over as Atletico Madrid’s head coach, Los Colchoneros became well known for heavily relying on the counterattack, meaning they usually don’t score more than two goals per game.
Well, last week, they scored more than two goals. They defeated Sevilla 6-1 with Memphis Depay, Antoine Griezmann, Yannick Carrasco and Alvaro Morata as the scorers. Depay and Morata each scored a brace.
Atletico Madrid is also one of the best defensive teams in the league. Los Colchoneros have conceded 19 goals in 24 games. Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have conceded less, with eight and 18.
According to the latest soccer lines, Atletico Madrid is offering a +115 price to win straight up, which is extremely good considering it has won more games on the road than at home. Plus, finishing in the La Liga top four is all this club has left.
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 7
- Girona Victories: 0 (9 goals)
- Atletico Madrid Victories: 2 (12 goals)
- Draws: 5
Atletico Madrid was listed as the betting online favorite in the first meeting between the two, winning 2-1 thanks to Angel Correa, who scored a brace. Rodrigo Riquelme scored for Girona.
Both teams scored in six of their previous seven encounters, and the total went over two goals in three of those matches. The total for Monday’s clash is set at two goals, with the over offering a -140 price in the sportsbook.
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Match Information
- Match: Girona vs Atletico Madrid
- Date/time: Monday, March 13, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Estadio Municipal Montilivi, Girona
- Girona vs Atletico Madrid Live Stream: fubo.tv
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Lines
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Picks and Prediction
I expect a back-and-forth battle and Depay to play with much less pressure after scoring a brace. But if Atletico Madrid wants to win, it will need to score at least two goals, which is offering a +140 price in the soccer odds. Luckily for Atletico, teams such as Almeria and Rayo Vallecano recently scored at least two goals at Estadio Municipal Montilivi, and Los Colchoneros are way better than those two.
Atletico Madrid is listed at +115 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Atletico Madrid, you have a chance to win $115. The Girona is +270, offering a chance to win $270 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Atletico Madrid a 46.51% chance to win, with Girona at 27.03%.