Prior to the start of the season, Rayo Vallecano wasn’t even considered a dark horse. Well, things have changed since the humble team from Madrid won its first two games and is one of the two teams that haven’t conceded a single goal. Even so, Los Franjirrojos come in as the betting online underdogs for Monday’s match against visiting Atletico Madrid.
Count on Rayo Vallecano to Score at Home
Rayo Vallecano started the season with a 2-0 victory over Almeria on the road. Isaac Palazon and Randy Nteka scored from the penalty spot. Almeria won possession and finished with more shots on goal, but Rayo’s defense was flawless.
Most recently, they also defeated Granada 2-0 on the road. No goals from the penalty spot this time. Alvaro Garcia scored the opener in the 75th minute and four minutes later, Pathe Ciss sealed the deal.
Regarding offense, only Real Madrid, the team atop the standings, has scored more goals than Rayo Vallecano with five. Regarding defense, as mentioned before, Los Franjirrojos and Barcelona are the only teams that haven’t conceded a single goal. Talk about balance!
Besides being the underdog thanks to a +330 price in the La Liga lines, which gives you the chance of winning $330 per every $100 wagered, the home side’s total is set at ½ goals with the over offering a -182 price. Regardless of the result, Rayo scored in nine of its last 10 games at home.
Atletico Madrid Way More Defensive on Road
Atletico Madrid started the season on the right foot with a 3-1 victory over Granada at home. Alvaro Morata, Memphis Depay and Marcos Llorente were the scorers. Despite losing possession with 45 percent, Los Colchoneros finished with 14 shots in total, seven more than Granada.
Last week, things were different. First, the match against Real Betis finished in a goalless draw. I told you to bet on the draw, which was offering a +245 price. Second, Betis finished with 14 shots in total to five for Los Colchoneros.
Even so, they’re in control of the La Liga odds for Monday’s match thanks to a -105 price. Plus, their total is set at 1½ goals with the over offering a +110 price. That’s a good deal, but keep in mind that they scored less than that in six of their last 10 La Liga games on the road.
Individually, I like Depay to keep leading the way when it comes to scoring. He’s offering a +200 price to score at any time. Morata is +185, but he didn’t start last weekend while Depay did.
Four in a Row for Atletico in Head-to-Head
Here’s another reason for Atletico Madrid to come in as the soccer betting favorites: Los Colchoneros won the last four times that these two met in Vallecas. Last season, they won 2-1 after scoring twice in a two-minute span. Plus, Rayo Vallecano played with 10 players for 30 minutes after Florian Lejeune was sent off.
Both scored in their last two meetings, but prior to that, only Los Colchoneros managed to score for six straight games. That’s why “both teams scoring in the match – no” is offering a -125 price in the sportsbook.
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Match Information
- Match: Monday, Aug. 28
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Vallecas, Madrid
- Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Stream: fuboTV
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Betting Lines
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Betting Picks
Rayo Vallecano is a very tempting underdog, but Atletico Madrid always put up a good fight in Vallecas. This time won’t be the exception, but Atletico won’t be able to win. Los Franjirrojos are highly motivated, and this will be their home opener.
Go ahead and include a draw + total going under 2½ goals in your soccer picks. I’m going with 1-1 for the final score.