It’s not over! At least, not yet for Trinidad and Tobago (0-1-1) which stands a chance, albeit minimal, to advance to the next stage of the Gold Cup if they blow out Guatemala (0-0-2) and Mexico loses to El Salvador. It’s a longshot at best, but anything can happen this Sunday.
The Soca Warriors will need to win by five goals to equal Mexico if El Tri draws with El Salvador. Never mind winning by five goals. Scoring in itself could already prove challenging for this team although it has great value at winning per the soccer betting odds.
|Guatemala||pk Ev||+195||2 -145o|
|Trinidad and Tobago||pk -130||+150||2 +115u|
Guatemala: Getting One
Unlike their opponents, Guatemala is already eliminated and is playing mostly for pride. Los Chapines has the worst goal differential in the tournament having allowed five and scoring none. They’re one of four teams that have yet to score a goal.
Scoring has not exactly been a specialty of this team. Guatemala has scored just one goal or fewer in its seven matches this year and it hasn’t scored a goal in four straight matches.
Darwin Lom could be Guatemala’s best forward and if anyone scores, it will likely be him. But the whole team will need to pick it up as they have an opportunity against the equally-challenged Soca Warriors.
Trinidad and Tobago: Have To Score First
Winning a soccer match is already a challenge. But winning by five goals? Trinidad and Tobago’s biggest margin of victory is three goals this year over 165th-ranked Guyana. Otherwise, the Soca Warriors have trouble scoring.
Trinidad and Tobago is goalless in the tournament so far and it’s 6.50 shots per 90 minute stat is second-worst and ahead of only Guatemala. But worse than Guatemala, Trinidad and Tobago has a measly 15.4% shot on target percent (SoT%).
Now these stats are skewed because Trinidad and Tobago have spent most of its 180 minutes defending and backpedalling. They will get more of an opportunity to flash their shot-creating skills against Guatemala. But winning by five goals? It’s more likely that Mexico beats El Salvador, but we would love to see Trinidad and Tobago try.
Pick: The Streak Continues
As far as the betting odds are concerned, Trinidad and Tobago and Guatemala are almost even. The two nations are right beside each other in the CONCACAF rankings though the former has had Guatemala’s number in recent meetings.
The two last met in a 2016 World Cup qualifier, which ended in a 2-2 draw. But Trinidad and Tobago has either beaten or drawn Guatemala in the five meetings prior to that. Guatemala’s last win came way back in 2005.
Both clubs haven’t scored yet, but they were outmatched against Mexico and El Salvador. This is a more even playing field with the lean on Trinidad and Tobago who have better and more experienced players.
Pick: Trinidad and Tobago +150
Bonus Pick: Party Time
You might wonder why the totals are juiced to the over when neither team has scored a goal. That would be because of recent history: each of the last three meetings between these teams produced three or more goals.
Mexico has a would-be stoppage-time winner wiped off by tight offside call and settles for a 0-0 draw vs. Trinidad and Tobago to open the Gold Cup 👀
— Planet Fútbol (@si_soccer) July 11, 2021
Trinidad and Tobago also would have conceded more than the two goals they did against El Salvador had it not been for offsides or a hot performance from its goalkeeper, Marvin Phillip. This team should score a pair and concede one against Guatemala to pump the over.