Tricky Road Test for Freiburg
And then there were four, including Hamburger SV, the only Bundesliga 2 team alive in the DFB Pokal. As expected, the Red Shorts will have to pull off another betting online upset to advance to the Grand Finale. Freiburg dominates the odds board thanks to a +105 price.
The winner will face RB Leipzig or FC Union Berlin for the gold. You heard it, no Bayern Munich nor Borussia Dortmund on the path to glory. Both combine for eight titles over the last 10 editions.
Hamburger SV Not Intimidated
Hamburger SV eliminated a team from the Bundesliga. The Red Shorts defeated Koln in the Round of 16. They needed penalties as the game ended 1-1. This will be just their second home game during the tournament. Home advantage can make a huge difference when it comes to a knockout series, especially in one game.
Besides Koln, Hamburger also eliminated Eintracht Braunschweig (2-1), Nurnberg (4-2 in penalties), and Karlsruher (3-2 in penalties). Three victorious penalty shootouts? It seems like Lady Luck is on Hamburg’s side.
The Red Shorts have scored in every game. Having one of the tourney’s top scorers helps tremendously – Robert Glatzel, who has scored four goals. Sonny Kittel also deserves some praise. He leads the team in assists with two. Don’t forget we’re talking about a very short tournament, so that’s a lot.
The Red Shorts have also allowed at least one goal every game. That’s the main reason for them to come in as the Soccer betting underdogs at +260 despite playing at home. Taking a shot on them ($100 bet) will return $360. A home underdog will always be a tempting underdog.
Freiburg’s Used to the Pressure
No matter what happens, Freiburg has surpassed all expectations. We’re talking about fifth place in the Bundesliga and finishing third is still a possibility. Last season, they finished tenth. Nevertheless, losing to a Bundesliga 2 team would be a huge disappointment.
So far, Freiburg eliminated Wurzburger Kickers, VfL Osnabruck, Hoffenheim, and Bochum. All four games were on the road, and they finished with a clean sheet once. They also have some experience winning penalty shootouts as they defeated VfL Osnabruck 3-2 after the game ended 2-2.
Winning the DFB Pokal is Freiburg’s only option to not finish the season trophyless. Therefore, I don’t expect an alternative starting lineup. Lucas Holer, one of the team’s top scorers, found some rest last weekend. Holer also leads the DFB Pokal assists chart with five.
Freiburg is used to the pressure of being the online gambling favorite. The visitors were atop the odds board in three of their previous four DFB Pokal games. The last time they lost as favorites, was on March 19. They were huge favorites to defeat Greuther Furth in the Bundesliga, but the game ended 0-0.
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 39
- Hamburg Victories: 16 (61 goals)
- Freiburg Victories: 8 (32 goals)
- Draws: 15
These two collided for the last time in the 2017-18 season when Hamburg was still playing in the Bundesliga. The Red Shorts won 1-0 thanks to a goal from Lewis Holtby. Freiburg played the last 20 minutes with only 10 players. Defender Caglar Soyuncu was sent to the locker room after a nasty foul.
Considering their last 10 meetings, we’re talking about a very even series. Six games ended with a draw (0-0 three times), while each team won twice.
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Game Information
- Date: Tuesday, April 19th
- Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Imtech Arena, Hamburg
- Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Live Stream: fuboTV
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Betting Lines
|Hamburger SV||+0.5 1.74||3.60||2.5 1.77o||1.5 2.80o
|Freiburg||-0.5 2.05||2.05||2.5 2.00u||1.5 1.91o
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Prediction
Forget about Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. Freiburg is the better team thanks to its mentality and a deeper, more experienced roster. The visitors scored two or more goals in three of their previous four games in the tournament. They did the same in their last two league games, including a 2-1 victory over Frankfurt. That’s the team that recently humiliated Barcelona at Camp Nou.
The home side will put up another good fight, enough for the total to go over, however, it’s recommended that you include the visitors scoring more than 1½ goals in your Soccer picks. It represents a lower risk.
Score Prediction: Freiburg 2, Hamburger SV 1