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Home » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks and Parlays » Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Derby della Madonnina is Serie A Game of the Week

Zack Robinson by Zack Robinson
Feb 3, 2023, 5:21pm ET
in Soccer Picks and Parlays
Inter Milan's Chilean forward Alexis Sanchez shoots the ball during the Italian Serie A football match Inter Milan vs Sassuolo

Inter Milan's Chilean forward Alexis Sanchez Sassuolo - ISABELLA BONOTTO / afp

While Inter Milan has turned things around and now sits in second place in Serie A, AC Milan lost their last two matches and now sit in fifth place. That’s basically why the Nerazzurri come in as the betting online favorites, but let’s not forget that the Rossoneri won the first Serie A meeting between the two in great fashion.

In other words, I can assure you this is going to be a thrilling battle.

Let’s check the latest Serie A news, stats, injury reports, and Serie A lines for Inter Milan vs AC Milan. We’ve got plenty of Serie A picks for you to consider.

Inter Milan: Martinez Leading the Way

Last Saturday, Inter Milan suffered a bit more than expected but still defeated Cremonese 2-1. Good thing our prediction was Inter Milan wins and both teams score (wink-wink). The Nerazzurri had to come from behind since David Okereke scored the opener only 11 minutes into the game. Nevertheless, a brace scored by Lautaro Martinez allowed the visitors to turn things around.

Speaking of Martinez, he’s the team’s top scorer with 11 goals. That’s huge considering that Inter’s attacking unit also includes Edin Dzeko, Joaquin Correa and Romelu Lukaku. The Argentine is officially on fire after scoring in five of their last seven matches.

Midweek, Inter regained even more confidence by defeating Atalanta 1-0 in the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia. The Nerazzurri controlled the game from start to end, winning possession and allowing only one shot on target.

Regarding the Serie A, the Nerazzurri have been considerably better when playing at home, where they’re 8-0-2. That also has a lot to do with them being the soccer betting favorites at -105, which is a great price considering all of the above.

AC Milan: Do or Die

As mentioned before, AC Milan are on the downside after losing their last two Serie A games. First, they lost 4-0 to Lazio. Most recently, they lost 5-2 to Sassuolo. As if that wasn’t enough, they were eliminated from the Coppa Italia by Torino. Summing up, winning the UEFA Champions League is all they’ve left.

Why? Because they currently sit in fifth place with 38 points, 15 less than Napoli. At this point, only a catastrophe could prevent Napoli from winning the title. The thing is that the Rossoneri aren’t the favorites to win the UCL, meaning they need to finish in the Serie A top four to secure a post in the continental tourney next season. That’s why, besides honor and pride, they can’t afford to lose to Inter. After all, we’re talking about a derby.

The Rossoneri are offering a +280 price in the sportsbook to win straight up. They’re 4-4-2 when playing on the road, but let’s not forget that San Siro is also their home and they’re 7-1-2 when playing there. In other words, you won’t find a more tempting underdog.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Head-to-Head

  • Previous Matches: 200
  • Inter Milan Victories: 76 (276 goals)
  • AC Milan Victories: 63 (259 goals)
  • Draws: 61

AC Milan won the first time they met this season. The Rossoneri came from behind to end up winning 3-2 with Rafael Leao (brace) and Olivier Giroud as the scorers. The Nerazzurri took revenge in the Super Cup by crushing the Rossoneri 3-0. Federico Dimarco, Edin Dzeko and Martinez were the scorers.

As you can see, if there’s something you can expect from these two, it’s goals. The total has gone over in six of their last 10 meetings. Regarding the Serie A, both scored in four of their last five encounters. I mean it, you can expect fireworks.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Match Information

  • Match: Inter Milan vs AC Milan
  • Date/time: Sunday, Feb. 5 2:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Siro, Milan
  • Inter Milan vs AC Milan Live Stream: fubo.tv
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Picks and Prediction

If Inter Milan has Lautaro Martinez, AC Milan has Rafael Leao. The Portuguese is the team’s top scorer with eight goals and also leads them in assists with five. That being said, I expect Martinez and Leao to shine on Sunday, enough for me to recommend you include the draw in your soccer picks.

The total going over 2½ goals at -125 is also a great option, but the draw is offering a much better reward. If there’s a team that can make Inter draw for the first time at San Siro, that’s AC Milan, because Napoli already failed.

Inter Milan are listed at -105 in our Vega soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Inter Milan, you have a chance to win $95. The AC Milan are +280, offering a chance to win $280 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the Serie A betting lines gives Inter Milan a 51.22% chance to win, with AC Milan at 26.32%.

BET THIS PICK: Draw (+270)

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Match Detail

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Tags: AC MilanInter MilanSerie ASoccer Picks
Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson is an experienced freelance writer/sports betting analyst who thinks and talks sports 24/7, that’s right, even when he sleeps. Zack has been writing insightful sports betting related articles for a decade and believes that every piece of information should be considered relevant, from the weather forecast to the stats, recent events, odds fluctuations and more; that’s why he makes sure to cover it all.

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