Prior to the start of the Serie A season, Inter Milan was the Serie A betting favorite to dethrone AC Milan. With only 11 games to go, I think we can say that’s not going to happen since the Inter is 21 points behind top-placed Napoli. Nevertheless, Inter still has plenty to play for. It currently sits in third place and AS Roma, the team sitting in fifth place, is only three points behind.
As for Fiorentina, the club has won its last four games, allowing it to keep sixth-place hopes alive. Finishing sixth would mean qualifying for the Conference League.
Inter Milan: Three in a Row?
Prior to the international break, Inter Milan suffered a heartbreaking loss to Juventus. The Nerazzurri lost 1-0 despite winning possession with 70% and taking 18 shots in total, 11 more than Juventus.
Inter finished the match with 10 players after Danilo D’Ambrosio was sent off in stoppage time, meaning he won’t be able to face Fiorentina.
Before losing to Juventus, the Nerazzurri also lost against Spezia. The match at Alberto Picco finished 2-1 thanks to M’Bala Nzola, who scored in the 87th minute. The good news for Inter was that Romelu Lukaku finally found the back of the net after a long drought.
With Lukaku in sync with Lautaro Martinez, the team’s top scorer with 14 goals, and Edin Dzeko, who has scored seven, Inter Milan can become an unstoppable team. After all, we’re already talking about the second top-scoring squad in the league with 47 goals. Only Napoli has scored more, with 64.
That’s why despite recent results, Inter Milan dominates the Serie A odds at -150. And there’s also the fact that 11 of Inter’s 16 victories were at home.
Fiorentina: Winning All Over
Including the UEFA Conference League, and regardless of the Las Vegas soccer odds, Fiorentina is on a seven-game winning streak, but that’s not all: it finished with a clean sheet in four of those games and scored at least two goals in five.
On March 19, Fiorentina defeated Lecce 1-0 thanks to an own goal scored by Antonio Gallo, controlling the match from start to end, winning possession with 60% and finishing with 18 shots, 10 more than Lecce. Nevertheless, it wasn’t effective in front of the goal.
Things were completely different in its last road match, which it won 4-1. It was in the Conference League, against Sivasspor, coming from behind with Arthur Cabral, Nikola Milenkovic, Dimitris Goutas and Gaetano Castrovilli as the scorers.
Cabral is the team’s top scorer with six goals in the Serie A, but there are also Nicolas Gonzalez and Luka Jovic with four. Any of them can tip the scale in Fiorentina’s favor, making it a good betting online option, especially at +400.
Inter vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 176
- Inter Milan Victories: 74 (274 goals)
- Fiorentina Victories: 47 (228 goals)
- Draws: 55
The first meeting between these two was complete chaos. Inter Milan scored the opener only two minutes into the game and ended up winning the first half 2-1. Later, Fiorentina managed to even the score twice, including 3-3 after Luka Jovic scored in the 90th minute. Nevertheless, Inter Milan won thanks to Henrikh Mkhitaryan, who scored in the 95th minute.
Both scored in four of their last five encounters, with the total going over 2½ in three of those matches. Precisely, the total for Saturday’s clash is set at 2½ goals, with the over offering a -125 price in the sportsbook.
Inter vs Fiorentina Match Information
- Match: Inter vs Fiorentina
- Date: Saturday, April 1st
- Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: San Siro, Milan
- Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Stream: fubo.tv
Inter vs Fiorentina Betting Lines
Inter vs Fiorentina Picks and Prediction
Yes, you can expect goals, but you can also expect a close match, enough for me to recommend you include the draw in your Serie A picks. A lot of players will be coming back from playing with their national teams, meaning they won’t be at 100% physically. Plus, two of the last three meetings between the two at San Siro finished with a draw.
Inter Milan is listed at -150 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Inter Milan, you can win $67. The Fiorentina are +400, offering a chance to win $400 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Inter Milan a 60.00% chance to win, with TEAM B at 20.00%.