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Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Rematch of 2017 Gold Cup Semifinals

Despite having fired their head coach a week before the start of the 2023 Gold Cup, Mexico is in the semifinals. El Tri will face Jamaica, a team used to playing in these instances after reaching the semifinals in three of the last four editions. Even so, Mexico comes in as the soccer betting favorite, despite Jamaica scoring more goals than El Tri.

Mexico: Ups and Downs

Mexico began the 2023 edition of the Gold Cup with a 4-0 victory over Honduras, conceding only one shot on target. Later, they defeated Haiti 3-1 in a game they finished with 32 shots in total.

Mexico vs Jamaica Game Preview, Odds, Picks and Predictions

After those two games, everyone had Mexico as the betting online favorite to win the title. However, they lost 1-0 to Qatar in the last fixture of the group stage. Mexico won possession with 77%, but that wasn’t enough to avoid defeat.

In the quarterfinals, Mexico suffered a bit more than expected but ended up defeating Costa Rica 2-0. The first half finished 0-0. Orbelin Pineda scored the opener from the penalty spot at the beginning of the second, while Erick Sanchez sealed the deal three minutes before the end.

Overall, Mexico has scored nine goals. Their defensive unit is playing at a very high level. Guillermo Ochoa, considered one of the best goalkeepers in the region, has been leading the way.

Regarding the Gold Cup odds, Mexico’s offering a -175 price to win straight up. Not bad for a team that only lost two of its last 12 matches.

Jamaica: Not Afraid

If there’s a team from the Caribbean that’s not afraid of Mexico, that’s Jamaica. The Reggae Boyz already defeated Mexico in the semifinals of the Gold Cup. It was in the 2017 edition; the match finished 1-0.

In addition, Jamaica remains undefeated in the 2023 edition. They drew 1-1 to USA in the group stage opener. Later, they showed no mercy to Trinidad & Tobago and beat them 4-1. Finally, they defeated Saint Kitts and Nevis 5-0.

In the quarterfinals, they defeated Guatemala 1-0 despite losing possession with 43% and finishing with only three shots on target. Guatemala finished with six. Amari’i Bell saved the day with a goal at the beginning of the second half.

Jamaica’s main strength is its defense, led by goalkeeper Andre Blake, who plays for the Philadelphia Union in the MLS. Centre-back Damion Lowe also plays for Union. Their chemistry is second to none.

Regarding the attacking unit, Demarai Gray is the main reason to consider including Jamaica in your soccer picks. Gray, who plays for Everton in the English Premier League, has scored two goals.

Jamaica vs Mexico Head-to-Head

Mexico dominates the all-time series against Jamaica 19-5-3. They met for the last time in Kingston on the road to the 2022 World Cup. Mexico came from behind to win it 2-1, playing the entire second half with one more player.

They’ve met eight times in the Gold Cup. Jamaica only won once, which was in the 2017 semifinals. They drew 0-0 twice. For Wednesday’s clash, Jamaica scoring over 1½ goals is offering a -135 price, while Mexico is -130. Both prices could further improve via soccer live betting.

Jamaica vs Mexico Match Information

  • Match: Jamaica vs Mexico
  • Date: Wednesday, July 12
  • Time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
  • USA vs Panama Live Stream: fuboTV

Mexico vs Jamaica Betting Lines


Jamaica vs Mexico Picks and Prediction

Mexico managed to qualify for the semifinals but isn’t playing its best football. Plus, several of their best players aren’t in the tournament due to injuries or vacations. On the other hand, Jamaica has nothing to lose and much to win. It’s going to be a back-and-forth battle, making the draw a very good option, which is offering a +300 price in the Las Vegas odds. In the end, one of the two must advance to the final, but remember, if you bet on the draw, it doesn’t matter who wins in overtime or penalties. The wager is all about regulation time.

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