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Koln vs Freiburg Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Visitors Clinging to Champions League Slot

If the Bundesliga season ended today, Freiburg would qualify for the UEFA Champions League while Koln would finish out of the top 10. Even so, the Billy Goats come in as the betting online favorites for Saturday’s contest, but keep in mind that the visitors must win to remain in the top four. Plus, they only lost one of their last five games on the road. Buckle up, because the final stretch of the season is about to begin and it’s going to be a bumpy ride.

Koln: Curious Case

In addition to not being among the top 10 teams in the Bundesliga, Koln have only won five home games. In fact, they failed to win any of their last four matches at RheinEnergieStadion. Most recently, they drew 1-1 to Mainz 05.

Koln vs Freiburg Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Freiburg's German forward Lucas Hoeler - CHRISTOF STACHE / afp

No wonder they’re 11th, right? However, that draw is part of a small non-losing streak, which is why they come in as the online gambling favorites at +140. The Billy Goats haven’t lost in their last four games. Last weekend, they defeated Hoffenheim 3-1 on the road with Florian Kainz, Davie Selke and Jan Thielmann as the scorers.

Not having to worry about anything else other than the Bundesliga has been very helpful. The. Billy Goats didn’t survive the Group Stage of the UEFA Conference League. Plus, they were eliminated in the first round of the DFB Pokal by Jahn Regensburg, a team from the Bundesliga 2.

Regarding the Bundesliga lines, the home side is offering a +140 price, which gives you the chance of winning $140 per every $100 wagered on them. Not bad for a team with three players who have scored at least five goals. We’re talking about Kainz, Ellyes Skhiri and Steffen Tigges. Any of them can tip the scales in the Billy Goats favor. In the end, they’ve nothing to lose and much to win.

Freiburg: Hope Dies Last

Right now, Freiburg are fourth, seven points behind Borussia Dortmund, the team atop the standings. In other words, they still have a chance of winning the title. That also applies to the DFB Pokal since they managed to qualify for the semifinals, in which they’ll face RB Leipzig.

Last Sunday, they had no mercy on Schalke 04. The Black and White ended up winning 4-0 with Michael Gregoritsch as Man of the Match after scoring a brace. Lucas Holer and Matthias Ginter also scored.

Gregoritsch is having a great season. He and Vincenzo Grifo have combined for 23 goals. They’re the main reasons for you to consider including the visitors in your soccer picks, especially at +200.

There’s also the fact that the Black and White haven’t lost in their last four road matches. During that span, they scored five goals and only conceded two. Most recently, they defeated Werder Bremen 2-1. Let’s not forget that Bremen defeated Borussia Dortmund 3-2.

The visitors, who are 6-4-4 when playing away from home, must win. Otherwise, they could fall to fifth and Bayer Leverkusen could reduce the gap between the two to only three points. That would be a lot of pressure for the final stretch of the season.

Koln vs Freiburg Head-to-Head

Freiburg had no trouble fulfilling their role as Bundesliga betting favorites in the first meeting of the season with Koln. The Black and White won 2-0 with Woo-yeong Jeong and Gregoritsch as the scorers. They controlled the game from start to end, winning possession with 55 percent and finishing with 12 shots in total, six more than the Billy Goats.

That was Freiburg’s sixth victory over Koln in their last 10 meetings. That includes winning two of the last four matches at RheinEnergieStadion. I’m telling you, you won’t find a more tempting underdog than the Black and White, so make sure to check our live betting panel to further improve your winning chances.

Koln vs Freiburg Match Information

  • Match: Koln vs Freiburg
  • Date/time: Saturday, April 29, 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Location: RheinEnergieStadion, Koln
  • Koln vs Freiburg Stream:

Koln vs Freiburg Betting Lines

Koln vs Freiburg Picks and Prediction

I have no doubt that Koln are better than 11th place, but Freiburg at +200 is just too good a deal not to take. Regardless of the result, the Black and White scored in seven of their last 10 road matches and finished with a clean sheet three times. If you were looking for an underdog to wager on, you just found it.

Freiburg is listed at +150 in our Vegas Bundesliga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Freiburg, you have a chance to win $150. The Koln are +170, offering a chance to win $170 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Freiburg a 40.00% chance to win, with Koln at 37.04%

Koln vs Freiburg Match Detail

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