The Los Angeles Galaxy and the Seattle Sounders are always expected to win the MLS Cup. Nevertheless, the pressure at the beginning of the 2023 season is affecting them very differently. While the Sounders are second in the Western Conference, the Galaxy remain winless, which makes even more curious the fact that they come in as the MLS betting favorites for Saturday’s clash.
LA Galaxy: Three in a Row
Los Angeles Galaxy opened the season losing 3-1 to FC Dallas. Since then, they’ve drawn in three straight matches, including last week’s 0-0 against the Portland Timbers. Hey, we told you to wager on the draw.
They also drew to Sporting Kansas City (0-0) and the Vancouver Whitecaps (1-1). Kudos to the defensive unit, but they really need the offense to wake up. While they’ve scored two goals, St. Louis City SC has scored 15.
Yes, Javier Chicharito Hernandez, the team’s top scorer in 2022 with 18 goals, has been out due to injury, but that’s no excuse. In the end, we’re talking about a team whose roster includes Efrain Alvarez, Riqui Puig, and Dejan Joveljic.
That’s basically why they dominate the MLS lines at +110. Well, there’s also the fact that, including last season’s final stretch, they’ve only lost one of their last 10 home games. Chicharito having a small chance to return also has a lot to do with it.
Seattle Sounders: With Authority
After losing 1-0 to CF Cincinnati, the Seattle Sounders played host to Los Angeles FC, also known as the reigning champions, and managed to get a point thanks to a goalless draw. Finishing with a clean sheet against the third top-scoring team in the Western Conference isn’t easy.
Most recently, they crushed Sporting Kansas City 4-1 on the road with a poker from Jordan Morris. They came from behind since William Agada scored the opener for the home side only five minutes into the game. Morris scored the equalizer 18 minutes later and went off in the second half with a hat-trick in 23 minutes.
As you can imagine, Morris is the main reason for you to consider including the visitors in your MLS picks, especially at +230. He’s the league’s top scorer with seven goals. He alone has scored more goals than 10 Western Conference teams in total.
Here’s why the Sounders come in as the betting online underdogs: they’ve only won one of their last 11 road games. But hey, keep in mind that they’ve finished with a clean sheet in three games.
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 43
- Los Angeles Galaxy Victories: 15 (63 goals)
- Seattle Sounders Victories: 15 (64 goals)
- Draws: 13
These two collided twice in 2022, and both meetings ended up being goal-fest. First, the Sounders came from behind to win 3-2 at home with Jordan Morris, Fredy Montero and Xavier Arreaga as the scorers. Later, they drew 3-3 in Los Angeles. Dejan Joveljic scored the final equalizer for the Galaxy in stoppage time.
Here’s another reason to consider the Sounders a tempting online gambling underdog: they’re unbeaten in nine straight matches against Los Angeles and have suffered defeat just once in the last 16.
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Match Information
- Match: LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 1st
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Stream: fubo.tv
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Betting Lines
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Picks and Prediction
Theirs is no doubt that the Seattle Sounders are the better team, but the Los Angeles Galaxy truly are stronger when playing at home. Besides only losing one of their last 10 games, they finished with a clean sheet three times and only conceded one goal in three other matches. Don’t worry, there’ll be goals, but my recommendation is to wager on the draw, which according to the Las Vegas odds is offering a very generous price.
The LA Galaxy is listed at +115 in our Vegas MLS lines. This means that if you wager $100 on LA Galaxy, you have a chance to win $115. The Seattle Sounders are +220, offering a chance to win $220 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives LA Galaxy a 46.51% chance to win, with Seattle Sounders at 31.25%.