La Liga First Place on Line in Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Competition: La Liga (Spain’s top division)

Location: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid

Time: Sunday, Nov. 28, 3 p.m. ET

TV: beIN Sports

Live Stream: fuboTV

La Liga Betting Lines

Head to Head

• Previous Matches: 169
• Real Madrid Victories: 92 (365 goals)
• Sevilla Victories: 28 (229 goals)
• Draws: 29

 

The last time they met, Real Madrid came from behind to finish tied 2-2, exactly the score we predicted. Fernando and Ivan Rakitic scored for Sevilla, while Marco Asensio and Eden Hazard did it for Madrid.

Los Blancos own a 6-1-3 record in their last 10 meetings with Sevilla. They scored 20 goals, allowed 12, and finished with a clean sheet four times. The total went over in seven of those games. Expect that trend to continue.

Sevilla won at Santiago Bernabeu for the last time in the 2008-09 season.

Goals, Goals, Goals

When Cristiano Ronaldo left, everybody thought Real Madrid were doomed. The Portuguese has been missed, but los Blancos are more than fine thanks to Carlo Ancelotti, Karim Benzema, Vinicius Junior.

They currently sit in first place with 30 points thanks to a 9-3-1 record, 32 goals for, and 14 against. No other team has scored more goals than them. In fact, the second top scoring team has scored eight goals less. Los Blancos have scored in 85 percent of their matches.

Benzema not only leads the team with 10 goals but also the league. He’s followed by Vinicius, who has scored eight. The Frenchman also leads the league in assists with seven. Los Blancos expect the striker can remain focused despite the verdict in Mathieu Valbuena’s sex tape case.

Real Madrid have been a more reliable soccer pick when playing at home. They remain unbeaten with a 3-2-0 record, 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 over/under.

Midweek, they sealed their ticket to the UCL Round of 16 by beating Sheriff 3-0. Finishing with a clean sheet for the first time in their last five games boosted their confidence even more.

Danger!

If there’s one team that can beat Real Madrid at Santiago Bernabeu, it’s Sevilla.

They sit in third place with 28 points thanks to an 8-4-1 record, 23 goals for, and nine against. That’s right, Sevilla are the second top scoring team in La Liga. That’s not all, they also own the best defensive record.

Most recently, they drew 2-2 to Deportivo Alaves, but midweek they beat Wolfsburg 2-0 in the UEFA Champions League. We’re talking about a well-balanced, disciplined team. Head coach Julen Lopetegui has done a great job establishing a winning mentality. Talking about Lopetegui, he used to coach Real Madrid, meaning he knows them very well.

Sevilla lost striker Luuk de Jong to Barcelona, but Erik Lamela, Rafa Mir, and Youssef En-Nesyri are having a great season. Lamela leads the team in scoring with four goals, while the other two have scored three goals each. Let’s not forget about Ivan Rakitic, a true captain on and off the field. That core is the main reason for you to include the visitors in your betting online ticket.

They own a 3-3-1 record on the road, 4-3 against the spread and 6-1-1 over/under. They scored at least one goal in each of their last three road games.

No major injuries to report here. Sevilla are going all-in at Santiago Bernabeu.

Final Analysis, Predictions

More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 77% of Real Madrid’s games. Sevilla aren’t afraid, so don’t expect them to rely on the counterattack, expect a back-and-forth battle. That’s why our football prediction includes both to score and the total to go over. Madrid’s depth will make the difference.

If you want to increase your winning chances, don’t forget to check the props. Our score prediction is offering a +750 price, while both to score in the match is -130.

Prediction: Real Madrid 2, Sevilla 1

Pick: Real Madrid by 1 at +250