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Expect Fireworks in Rome Derby

AS Roma Slightly Favored vs Host Lazio

Jose Mourinho returned to Italy to make an impact and he has done so. After several seasons in the dark, AS Roma is back fighting with the Italian Serie A powerhouses at the top. They’re not the only team from Rome that has had a good start to the season. Lazio has lost only one game and they’re one victory away from getting into the top five.

Both sides are ready to put on quite a show in the city derby on Sunday. The winner will get much more than three points. On the other hand, the fans from the losing team will have a tough day at the office on Monday.

Serie A: Lazio vs AS Roma

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and soccer betting lines for Lazio vs AS Roma.

Game: Lazio vs AS Roma

Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Time: Sunday, noon ET

Television: beIN Sports

Live Stream: fuboTV

Italian Serie A Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Lazio Pk -105 +170 2½ -135o 1½ -120o/-110u
AS Roma Pk -115 +165 2½ +115u 1½ +115o/-145u
Draw +250

Head to Head

  • Previous Matches: 164
  • Lazio Victories: 44 (166 goals)
  • AS Roma Victories: 60 (205 goals)
  • Draws: 60

Last season, they met twice and each team beat the other playing as the host. First, Lazio won 3-0 with Luis Alberto as the Player of the Match after scoring twice. Later, AS Roma won 2-0 with goals from Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Pedro Rodriguez.

Roma owns a 4-3-3 record in their last 10 meetings with Lazio. Curiously enough, during that span they scored 12 goals while Lazio scored 13. Both finished with a clean sheet three times and the total went over in five of those games.

Only one of their last 10 encounters finished with a goalless draw.

Why Bet on Lazio?

Despite losing manager Simone Inzaghi to Inter Milan, Lazio has managed to remain competitive. They started the season with two victories but haven’t been able to win since. Most recently, they drew 1-1 with Torino.

They own a 2-2-1 record, good enough for seventh place with eight points. They’ve scored 12 goals and allowed seven. Only Inter Milan and Napoli have scored more goals. Things tend to get easier when you’ve a world-class scorer like Ciro Immobile. He leads the league with six goals. Luis Romero has been his best ally, leading the team in assists with three.

Lazio may not have the money and fame of other clubs, but they definitely can compete with the domestic powerhouses. Maurizio Sarri replaced Inzaghi and he has done a great job. He’s a very experienced manager who knows Serie A pretty well. He also coached Napoli, Chelsea and Juventus in recent years.

They also started the season 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 over/under. Sarri is known for having a defensive mindset, but his teams usually are very effective on the counterattack. That’s why you can’t discard them from your soccer picks just like that.

“Results are coming, we want to propose a different style of football. The lads are enjoying themselves, but it takes time to see what we do in training translate into what we all see on the pitch,” said assistant manager Giovanni Martusciello in an interview.

Bobby Adekanye and Mattia Zaccagni are out due to injury. Those absences shouldn’t change their game plan too much. Their expected lineup is Pepe Reina; Adam Marusic, Luiz Felipe, Francesco Acerbi, Elseid Hysaj; Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, Danilo Cataldi, Luis Romero; Ciro Immobile, Felipe Anderson, Raul Moro.

Why Bet on AS Roma?

AS Roma could be undefeated, but several mistakes led to a 3-2 defeat against Hellas Verona. Most recently, they beat Udinese, just as we predicted. Mourinho’s teams rarely lose two games in a row.

They sit in fourth place with 12 points, only three behind Napoli thanks to a 4-1-0 record. They’ve scored 12 goals and allowed five. Only Napoli and AC Milan have allowed fewer goals.

Tammy Abraham, their most recent signing, has had quite an impact. That’s huge, even more because Lorenzo Pellegrini, one of the team’s top scorers, is suspended. Abraham and Jordan Veretout will lead the attack against Lazio. In fact, they’re the main reason for you to consider including Roma in your betting online ticket.

They also started the season 2-1-2 against the spread and 3-1-1 over/under. Mourinho is also known for having a defensive mindset, but he has proven to be a winner. His teams are very disciplined and rarely make mistakes.

Beating Lazio could even boost them to first place. Yes, they need other results for that to happen, but they’ve to do their part first. Not letting the powerhouses increase their advantage should be motivation enough to go all-in the derby.

Besides Pellegrini, Leonardo Spinazzola is out due to injury. Their expected lineup is Rui Patricio; Rick Karsdorp, Gianluca Mancini, Roger Ibanez, Riccardo Calafiori; Bryan Cristante, Jordan Veretout, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Stephan El Shaarawy, Nicolo Zaniolo; Tammy Abraham.

Final Analysis, Predictions

Expect nothing less than a showdown. We’re talking about two very strong teams, physically and mentally. Both remain unbeaten when playing at Stadio Olimpico. That’s right, they share the facility, which means both will be more than comfortable.

Don’t forget to check the props our sportsbook is offering for this and other games to increase your winning chances. Our score prediction is offering a +1100 price. Draw and total over 3½ is +750. AS Roma scored two or more goals in seven of their previous eight games in all competitions. Expect fireworks!

Score Prediction: Lazio 2, AS Roma 2

Pick: AS Roma Over 1½ goals (+115)

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