Lazio are for real. Over the last 10 days, the Biancocelesti crushed AC Milan in the Serie A and defeated Bologna to advance to the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia. Now, they come in as the betting online favorites to defeat Fiorentina, a team whose main objective is to qualify for a UEFA competition. They must win in Rome to keep those hopes alive.
Lazio: No Immobile, No Problem
No other active player has scored more goals in the Serie A than Ciro Immobile with 189, but the veteran has been dealing with a lot of injuries that have caused him to miss several games, including Tuesday’s clash with AC Milan.
The Biancocelesti were the soccer betting underdogs, but they pulled off the stunner in great fashion. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic scored the opener only four minutes into the game while Mattia Zaccagni increased the advantage right before halftime. Luis Romero and Felipe Anderson scored in the second half to make it 4-0.
With Immobile out, Zaccagni has become the leader of the attacking unit. He has scored eight goals, enough to be the team’s top scorer and to be in the Golden Boot race. Milinkovic-Savic has been his best ally. The Serbian leads the league in assists with eight.
The Biancocelesti are offering a +105 price to win straight up. Considering they’re highly motivated and 6-2-2 when playing at home, that’s a great deal. Plus, a victory could boost them up to second place. In other words, they’ll go for the kill right from the start.
Fiorentina: Determined to Bounce Back
First of all, Fiorentina shouldn’t suffer so much to be in the top 10. We’re talking about a team that can afford to have players like Luka Jovic and Nicolas Gonzalez on the bench. Nevertheless, they currently sit in 11th place.
Most recently, they lost 1-0 to Torino at home. The Gigliati won possession with 63 percent and finished with 19 shots in total, 10 more than Torino, but they weren’t effective in front of goal. Playing 4-5-1 didn’t help. I think head coach Vincenzo Italiano should consider shaking things up.
Anyway, good news regarding the defense because Domilson Cordeiro, better known as Dodo, will be back after missing the match against Torino due to suspension. At 24, Dodo is considered one of the best right backs in the league.
Fiorentina’s road record isn’t the best at 2-2-5, but the Gigliati are used to putting up a good fight. They scored in four of their last five visits and finished with a clean sheet once. Plus, four of their losses were by one goal.
The visitors are offering a +285 price in the Las Vegas odds, which means a $100 wager could turn into a $385 payout. Finally, keep in mind that unlike Lazio, the visitors have no major injury concerns.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 154
- Lazio Victories: 63 (218 goals)
- Fiorentina Victories: 49 (192 goals)
- Draws: 42
Lazio showed no mercy in the first meeting between the two this season. The Biancocelesti went to Florence and won 4-0 with Matias Vecino, Zaccagni, Luis Alberto and Immobile scoring. That was Lazio’s third straight victory over the Gigliati. As if that wasn’t enough, the Biancocelesti won those three matches with an 8-0 aggregate.
You can expect fireworks since the total has gone over in six of their last 10 encounters. Both scored in five of those matches.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Match Information
- Match: Lazio vs Fiorentina.
- Date/Time: Sunday, Jan. 29, 12:00pmET
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
- Lazio vs Fiorentina Live stream: fubo.tv
Lazio vs Fiorentina Betting Lines
Lazio vs Fiorentina Picks and Prediction
I invite you to believe in Lazio. You know, the Cinderella story. Even with Immobile out, Zaccagni and Milinkovic-Savic already proved they’ve things under control. Plus, the Biancocelesti have allowed 15 goals in 19 games. Only Napoli have allowed less with 14. Last but not least, Maurizio Sarri is one of the best managers in the game. He has done a great job in establishing a winning mentality. Bottom line, Lazio at +105 is too good a deal not to include in your soccer picks.
The Fiorentina are listed at +285 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Fiorentina, you have a chance to win $285. The Lazio are +105, offering a chance to win $105 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Fiorentina 25.97% chance to win, with Lazio at 48.78%.