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Home » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks and Parlays » Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Mainz’s Poor Home Form Will Be Key

Alex Campean
Jan 24, 2023, 4:39pm ET
in Soccer Picks and Parlays
Dortmund's German midfielder Felix Passlack

Dortmund's German midfielder Felix Passlack - Ronny Hartmann / afp

After surviving Augsburg in its first game of the year, Dortmund will look to give fans yet another reason for celebration when it takes on Mainz 05. Our sportsbook offers the best markets and bonuses for the German top-flight league.

Let’s check the latest Bundesliga news, stats, injury reports, and Bundesliga lines for Mainz vs Dortmund. We’ve got plenty of Bundesliga picks for you to consider.

Mainz: Winless in Five Bundesliga Games

Mainz finished eighth in the Bundesliga last season, squeezing into the top half of the table after taking seven points from the last nine available. It kicked off the current campaign with ambitions of matching that achievement, but if it’s not careful, Mainz could be dragged into a relegation battle.

A 1-1 draw against Stuttgart saw Mainz extend its winless run of Bundesliga games to five to begin the new year, a run which leaves it stuck in the mid-table abyss and considerably behind Dortmund. Playing at home is unlikely to buoy Bo Svensson’s troops, who have won just one of their last eight home league games, hardly inspiring form ahead of a visit from Bundesliga’s perennial title contenders.

Mainz will be without Jonathan Burkardt, Delano Burgzorg, and Marlon Mustapha, all out due to injury. Dominik Kohr will also miss the game through suspension. Goalkeeper Robin Zentner is a doubt due to back problems.

After a solid start to the season, which had Mainz up in the sixth spot after 11 rounds of fixtures, the team is now just five points above the relegation zone. There is no need for panic just yet, but Mainz must start picking up wins again soon. Still, we won’t include them in our soccer picks and parlays.

Dortmund: Struggling at the Back

Dortmund kicked off the new year with a thrilling 4-3 win over FC Augsburg. That victory has boosted its chances of securing a Champions League place for next season. The team is now only two points behind the top four and seven points adrift of league leader Bayern Munich with 18 games still remaining.

While Dortmund has impressed on home soil in recent months, with Sunday’s win extending its unbeaten run at Signal Iduna Park to nine matches, it has struggled to replicate its performance levels on the road, winning only three of its last 10 away games in all competitions.

Dortmund is the favorite to win, but it must be careful not to continue to show the defensive issues it displayed in its last match. Dortmund will not win the title this term – it is simply not consistent enough to finish above Bayern, but Terzic’s team should mount a challenge for second. Dortmund will see this as a must-win game ahead of this weekend’s blockbuster clash against Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen.

Star midfielder Jude Bellingham is the club’s only player to have featured for every minute in the Bundesliga this season. Still, the 19-year-old will miss Wednesday’s game due to suspension after receiving his fifth yellow card against Augsburg. If you’re betting online, you should expect a high-scoring affair.

Mainz vs Dortmund Head-to-Head

Dortmund has won each of the last three head-to-heads and nine of its 16 matches this season. Meanwhile, Mainz is on a run of five matches without a victory. Dortmund has scored at least twice in five of its last six Bundesliga games, whilst Edin Terzic’s men have won each of the last five competitive mutual encounters at this venue.

There have been at least three goals scored in five of Borussia Dortmund’s last six Bundesliga games. Dortmund scored four goals from set pieces in the last six games, having failed to get any from dead balls in the first 10 matches.

Mainz vs Dortmund Match Information

  • Match: Mainz (5-5-6) vs Dortmund (9-1-6)
  • Location: Mewa Arena, Mainz
  • Day/Time: Wednesday, Jan. 25, 12:30 p.m. ET
  • Mainz vs Dortmund Live Stream: fubo.tv
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Mainz vs Dortmund Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

Mainz vs Dortmund Picks & Prediction

The visitors enter this clash as slight favorites, priced at +130 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest soccer odds, while the goal line is set at three.

Considering Mainz’s home form and Dortmund’s recent efforts on the road, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Dortmund fans are no doubt hoping for a calmer, less eventful win against Mainz, but we should see at least three goals on the scoresheet.

Dortmund will simply have too much for Mainz here but should also concede at least one goal.

The Dortmund are listed at +130 in our Vegas soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Dortmund , you have a chance to win $130. The 05 are +190, offering a chance to win $190 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Dortmunda 43.48% chance to win, with 05 at 34.48%.

BET THIS PICK: Dortmund Wins & Both Teams To Score YES (+300)

Mainz vs Dortmund Match Detail

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Tags: Borussia DortmundBundesligaMainzSoccer Picks
Alex Campean

Alex Campean

Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top five European leagues, Champions League and Europa League, and is well known for his “trademark” Alex Classic bet — both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match. He’s very disciplined, following a strict set of rules and having a great bankroll management. He’s our Bundesliga guest and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect and long-term profit. If you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again, winning a bet in the last minute of the game — so never lose hope.

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