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Mainz vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Both in Bundesliga Top Seven

For Mainz, qualifying for a UEFA competition would be like winning the Bundesliga title. The White and Reds are currently four points behind sixth place, which grants a ticket for the Conference League. As for SC Freiburg, the White and Blacks are seven points behind the team atop the standings, meaning they can’t afford to lose.

Freiburg is offering a +235 price in the sportsbook to win straight up.

Mainz' German defender Daniel Brosinski (R) react at the end of the German first division - Daniel roland / afp
Mainz' German defender Daniel Brosinski (R) react at the end of the German first division - Daniel roland / afp

Mainz On a Roll

Mainz is one of the four Bundesliga teams that haven’t lost in their last five matches, and no, Bayern Munich isn’t on the list. Most recently, the White and Reds came from behind to draw 1-1 to Hertha Berlin. Not bad, considering the game was on the road and the home side finished with five more shots in total.

During that span, it defeated more traditional teams like Bayern Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Plus, it scored in all five games and finished with a clean sheet twice. Mainz has been a really nice surprise this season.

Mainz is also doing slightly better when playing at home, which is why it comes in as the soccer betting favorite at +115, winning its last four home games with a 13-3 aggregate.

Make sure to keep an eye on Marcus Ingvartsen and Karim Onisiwo, who are the team’s top scorers with eight goals.

Freiburg Top Priority

Midweek, Freiburg got eliminated from the UEFA Europa League after losing 2-0 to Juventus, which means finishing in the Bundesliga top four has become its top priority. The club also remains alive in the DFB Pokal but is a huge online gambling underdog for the quarterfinals against Bayern Munich.

Regarding the Bundesliga, Freiburg defeated Hoffenheim 2-1 in their last match. Ritsu Doan saved the day with a late goal in the second half. Doan is having a great season, but not as much as Vincenzo Grifo and Michael Gregoritsch. Grifo is the team’s top scorer with 12 goals, while Gregoritsch has scored eight.

Freiburg plays better at home but managed to finish with a clean sheet in its last two road games, and a victory on Sunday could boost it up to the third place, which should be enough motivation to go all-in right from the start.

Mainz vs Freiburg Head-to-Head

  • Previous Matches: 47
  • Mainz Victories: 17 (66 goals)
  • Freiburg Victories: 15 (51 goals)
  • Draws: 15

The first meeting between the two met all expectations, with both teams scoring and the total going over 2½ goals. According to the latest soccer odds, the total for Sunday’s clash is also set at 2½ goals, with the over offering a -105 price.

Freiburg won that match 2-1, with Michael Gregoritsch and Daniel Kyereh as the scorers, while Aaron Martin scored for Mainz. All three goals were scored in the first half.

With all that’s at stake, you can expect a back-and-forth battle with plenty of goals since these two only drew 0-0 once in their last 17 encounters.

Mainz vs Freiburg Match Information

  • Match: Mainz vs Freiburg
  • Date/Time: Sunday, March 19th, 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mewa Arena, Mainz
  • Mainz vs Freiburg Live stream: fuboTV

Mainz vs Freiburg Betting Lines

Mainz vs Freiburg Picks and Predictions

Mainz is having a great season, but come on, Freiburg at +235 is too good a deal not to include in your soccer picks. That doesn’t mean Mainz won’t put up a good fight; quite the contrary since we’re talking about a team that has scored more goals than fourth and fifth place, meaning you should also consider including the over in your betting online ticket.

The FSV Mainz 05 are listed at -115 in our Vegas Soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Mainz 05 , you have a chance to win $87. The SC Freiburg are +235, offering a chance to win $235 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Mainz 05 a 53.49% chance to win, with SC Freiburg at 29.85%

Mainz vs SC Freiburg Match Detail

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