The La Liga top six is set, but seventh place, which grants a ticket to the UEFA Conference League, isn’t. Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano are in the race. They need a victory and three other teams to lose, but let’s focus on the winning part.
According to the La Liga odds, Rayo Vallecano should win, but keep in mind that Mallorca have been considerably better when playing at home.
Mallorca: Above Expectations
Last season, Mallorca avoided relegation by one point. Therefore, this season’s main goal was to avoid suffering that much. Well, not only have they already avoided relegation, but they’ve a good chance of finishing in the top 10.
A week ago, Los Piratas lost 3-0 to Barcelona at Camp Nou. They never stood a chance since Ansu Fati scored the opener only one minute into the match. Plus, Amath Ndiaye was sent off 13 minutes later. They finished with 21 percent of possession and only one shot on target.
Fortunately for them, things have been completely different when playing at home, where they own a 9-5-4 record. Most recently, they defeated Valencia 1-0 with Vedat Muriqi as the scorer. Speaking of Muriqi, he’s the team’s top scorer with 14 goals. In other words, the main reason for you to consider including the home side in your La Liga picks.
But I understand if you need more reasons, which is why we need to talk about the +210 price they’re offering to win straight up. First, we’re talking about a team that only lost one of their last 13 home games. Second, that gives you the chance of winning $210 per every $100 wagered on them. Finally, that price could further improve via live betting, so you make sure to keep track of it.
Rayo Vallecano: Giant Slayer
While Rayo Vallecano won’t win the title or anything like it, we cannot deny that they’ve had a great season. So great that Barcelona couldn’t defeat them. So great that they were the first team to defeat Real Madrid.
Last weekend, they defeated Villarreal 2-1. Keep in mind that the Yellow Submarine will finish fifth. Losing to Rayo Vallecano prevented them from having a chance to qualify for the UEFA Champions League in the last fixture. Anyway, Los Franjirrojos won thanks to Raul de Tomas and Isi Palazon, who scored in the second half.
Speaking of Isi Palazon, he’s the team’s top scorer with nine goals. He also leads the team in assists with five, the same as Sergio Camello. Camello has also scored six goals. In other words, any of them can tip off the scales in their favor.
Regarding the La Liga lines, the visitors are offering a +130 price. Considering they’re 4-5-9 when playing on the road, that’s pretty generous. The fact that they scored in seven of their last 10 road games has a lot to do with it.
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head
Here’s another reason to consider Mallorca a tempting La Liga betting underdog: Los Piratas won the first meeting between the two 2-0. Vedat Muriqi scored the opener only 13 minutes into the match while Kang-in Lee sealed the deal in the second half. Believe it or not, Rayo Vallecano won possession with 66 percent but finished with zero shots on target.
That was Mallorca’s sixth victory over Los Franjirrojos in their last 10 encounters. During that span, the total went under seven times. The total for Sunday’s clash is set at 2½ goals with the under offering -145 in the sportsbook.
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Match Information
- Match: Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
- Date/time: Sunday, June 4, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Iberostar, Mallorca
- Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Stream: fubo.tv
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Lines
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Picks and Prediction
Come on, it’s the last fixture of the season and the home team is offering a +210 price to win straight up. That’s too good a deal not to take. Plus, believe it or not, Rayo Vallecano have never beaten Mallorca on the road when it comes to La Liga. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not going to be easy, but again, it’s too good a deal not to take.
Rayo Vallecano is listed at +130 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Rayo Vallecano, you have a chance to win $130. Mallorca is +210, offering a chance to win $210 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Rayo Vallecano a 43.48% chance to win, with Mallorca at 32.26%.