Toluca beat America, just as we predicted, last week to climb to first place. However, Liga MX is so competitive that Monterrey dominates the odds board for their meeting on Wednesday. They deserve to be the favorites, but I don’t expect Toluca to be easy prey.
Both are among the top scoring teams in the league, so brace yourself for a back-and-forth battle. Don’t underestimate the Liga MX, for this is going to be a thrilling match. Let’s take a look at the latest news, stats, injury reports, and soccer lines for Monterrey vs Toluca.
Game: Monterrey vs Toluca
Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Monterrey
Time: Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Mexico Primera Division Betting Lines
|Monterrey||-1 +110||-160||2½ -120o||1½ -140o/+110u|
|Toluca||+1 -140||+450||2½ -110u||½ -165o/+135u|
Head to Head
- Previous Matches: 49
- Monterrey Victories: 15 (58 goals)
- Toluca Victories: 15 (65 goals)
- Draws: 19
Last season, they met twice and Monterrey won both games by a 5-2 aggregate. First, they won 3-1 at home with an impressive performance from Rogelio Funes Mori, who scored twice. Later, they went to Toluca and won 2-1 with goals from Sebastian Vega and Maximiliano Meza.
Monterrey owns a 5-2-3 record in their last 10 meetings with Toluca. During that span, they scored 17 goals, allowed 15 and finished with a clean sheet once. The total went over in six of those games, which means you can expect goals.
Toluca beat Monterrey for the last time in the 2019-20 season.
Why Bet on Monterrey?
Monterrey has lost only one of nine games, but it also have drawn five. They sit in fifth place with 14 points thanks to a 3-5-1 record, 13 goals for and eight against. Losing to Toluca could increase the gap between the two to nine points.
Most recently, Monterrey beat another title contender at home with a 2-0 win over Tigres UANL on goals from Arturo Gonzalez and Matias Kranevitter. Finishing with a clean sheet against Tigres isn’t easy. We’re talking about an offensive unit with Andre-Pierre Gignac, Luis Quinones, Florian Thauvin and Javier Aquino. That should be enough for you to consider including them in your soccer picks.
Rayados have nothing to envy Tigres or any other Liga MX team. Their roster includes Funes Mori, who is Mexico’s national team center forward. He leads the team in scoring with three goals. It also includes Duvan Vergara, Carlos Rodriguez and Maximiliano Meza. They can afford to have Matias Kranevitter, Joel Campbell and Hector Moreno coming off the bench.
Javier Aguirre is a very experienced manager. He knows the Liga MX very well after also having coached Atlante and Pachuca. Nevertheless, his best references are Atletico Madrid and Mexico’s national team. He’s a very disciplined manager and has done a great job establishing a new mentality.
They have been playing more games due to the CONCACAF Champions League and that could hurt them physically and mentally. However, the Final against America won’t be until the end of October, allowing them to focus on the Liga MX.
Only Vincent Janssen is out due to injury. Their expected lineup is Esteban Andrada; Cesar Montes, Stefan Medina, Sebastian Vegas, Jesus Gallardo; Celso Ortiz, Arturo Gonzalez, Carlos Rodriguez, Maximiliano Meza; Duvan Vergara, Rogelio Funes Mori.
Why Bet on Toluca?
Toluca has been the only team capable of beating America. That’s right, last week they beat las Aguilas 3-1 and now share first place, both with 20 points. Toluca owns a 6-2-1 record, 17 goals for and 11 against. No other team has scored more goals.
Defensively, they need to improve. They have allowed five more goals than America, which is why they’re not at the very top. Manager Hernan Cristante likes to play 4-5-1 or 4-4-2. Either way, they’re used to winning possession but they’re not very efficient against the counter-attack.
Toluca’s roster depth allows Cristante to rest some players once in awhile. Having fresh legs and clear minds can make the difference in a crucial match like this. Keep that in mind when placing your betting online ticket.
Individually, Rubens Sambueza is having an incredible season. He leads the team in scoring with five goals. He also leads the team in assists with five. The thing is that they depend on Sambueza to score and win. Haret Ortega and Braian Samudio were the scorers against America.
Claudio Baeza won’t be available due to suspension but; the rest of the team is ready to go. Their expected lineup is Luis Garcia; Raul Lopez, Oscar Venegas, Haret Ortega, Jorge Rodriguez; Kevin Castaneda, Jose Vazquez, Felipe Pardo, Braian Samudio, Rubens Sambueza; Ian Gonzalez.
Final Analysis, Predictions
Toluca is in first place, but Monterrey remains unbeaten at home. It’s going to be a back-and-forth battle. Expect plenty of goals since, both scored at least once in four of their last five games. I expect a huge game from Sambueza and Funes Mori.
Don’t forget to check the props our sportsbook is offering for this and other games to increase your winning chances. Take a shot on the correct score, half time/full time winner and more.
Score Prediction: Monterrey 2, Toluca 2
Pick: Draw (+285)