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Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Home Side Has Won 12 of Last 14 Matches
It is a preview of the Champions League quarter-final as Napoli welcomes AC Milan to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday. Our sportsbook offers the best markets and bonuses in the Italian top-flight league.
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Napoli: Impressive Season
Napoli can almost feel the Scudetto in its hand after another slip-up by Inter Milan put the club in a 19-point lead at the top of the Serie A table. Its 4-0 victory away at Torino on March 19 chalked off another successive performance for Luciano Spalletti’s troops.
The hosts are just a few steps away from mathematically sealing the Scudetto and will be keen to do the double over the reigning champions AC Milan. It is hard to see past a Napoli win this weekend, despite the hosts losing their first game at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona before the international break to Lazio. Despite this brief blip, Luciano Spalletti’s troops have been ruthless at home and are our tip to storm to an easy win.
The leaders have been impressive all over the pitch; however, it is their front line that has caught the headlines this term. The world-class attacking duo of Victor Osimhen and Kvicha Kvaratskhelia has been amongst the most lethal in Europe, contributing to over 60 goals across all competitions, so if you’re betting online, you should expect at least one of them to score on Sunday.
Napoli and AC Milan will battle three times in April, facing off in the first all-Italian Champions League tie since 2005 as they bid to reach the semi-finals of Europe’s premier club competition. Luciano Spalletti is unlikely to make many changes to his regular starting lineup for this fixture. Giacomo Raspadori and Diego Demme are both long-term absentees, whilst Mario Rui will battle with Mathias Olivera for a start at full-back.
AC Milan: Fighting for Top-Four Finish
Milan is under great pressure, and this match is as important as the two in the Champions League. With a series of poor results in the league in the previous weeks, the Rossoneri brought into question their top-four position in the table, so now they have only one point more than AS Roma and three more than Atalanta.
Milan went four games without a win before the international break, losing back-to-back away league games at Fiorentina and Udinese, either side of dull draws with Tottenham and Salernitana. They have lacked inspiration in attack recently, with star forward Rafael Leao enduring an 11-game club goal drought.
For Milan, defeat on Sunday would not only mark their third in four Serie A matches but would also have physiological implications for their upcoming UCL double-hitter against Napoli. Given that the European competition is the Rossoneri’s last chance of success this season, they will be keen to make a statement against the leaders, but we can’t trust them enough to include them in our Serie A picks and parlays.
Napoli vs AC Milan Head-to-Head
Napoli has won 12 of their last 14 matches across all competitions. The Serie A leaders beat AC Milan 2-1 on the road earlier this season. Luciano Spalletti’s troops have won seven of their nine league meetings with top-seven sides in Serie A this term, only losing to Inter Milan and Lazio.
AC Milan failed to win any of its last four games before the international break, three of them in the Italian top flight. Three of the last four encounters between these rivals ended in a 1-0 scoreline.
Napoli vs AC Milan Match Information
- Game: Napoli (23-2-2) vs AC Milan (14-6-7)
- Day/Time: Sunday, April 2nd, 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
- Napoli vs AC Milan Live Stream: fubo.tv
Napoli vs AC Milan Betting Lines
Napoli vs AC Milan Picks and Prediction
The hosts enter this clash as favorites, priced at -120 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest Serie A odds, while the goal line is set at 2½.
The leaders can afford to take their foot off the gas after moving 19 points clear at the Serie A summit, with the opportunity to reach the Champions League’s last four for the first time ever, but we still expect them to use the best starting lineup against Milan. This should be a high-scoring affair with at least three goals on the scoresheet.
Napoli is listed at -120 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Napoli, you have a chance to win $83. The AC Milan are +345, offering a chance to win $345 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Napoli a 54.55% chance to win, with AC Milan at 22.47%.
Napoli vs AC Milan Match Detail
