Napoli already won the Italian Serie A title, but the Azzurri are thirsty for revenge since Inter Milan are one of the four teams that have managed to beat them. On the other hand, the Nerazzurri are highly motivated after advancing to the UEFA Champions League Grand Finale. As if that wasn’t enough, they won their last five Serie A matches, which is why they’re slightly favored in the Serie A odds.
Napoli: No Excuses
Last weekend, Napoli lost 2-0 to Monza despite winning possession with 56 percent and finishing with 20 shots in total, 10 more than the Biancorossi. Some usual starters didn’t play, but still, they should have gotten a better result.
They simply can’t afford to rest players against Inter Milan. Otherwise, they could end up suffering a humiliating defeat, like the one they suffered against the other team from Milan a month ago. AC Milan crushed the Azzurri 4-0 at Stadio Diego Maradona.
Anyway, let’s not forget that we’re talking about the champions. Plus, we’re also talking about the top-scoring team with 70 goals and the best defensive unit after only conceding 25 goals in 35 games.
Individually, Victor Osimhen is aiming to win the Golden Boot. He currently leads the race with 23 goals, but can’t relax yet. Lautaro Martinez, from Inter Milan, is only three goals behind. There’s also Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who leads the league in assists with 10. If Napoli want to win it all, they must take the last three games very seriously.
Regarding the Serie A lines, they’re offering a +180 price, which gives you the chance of winning $180 per every $100 wagered on them. Considering they’re 12-3-2 when playing at home, that’s a great deal.
Inter Milan: On Fire
Midweek, Inter Milan defeated AC Milan, again, to qualify for their first UEFA Champions League final in 13 years. The Nerazzurri won 1-0 thanks to Martinez, who scored in the 74th minute. Despite losing possession with 43 percent, they finished with 15 shots in total, 11 more than the Rossoneri. That’s Inter for you, one of the best teams when it comes to relying on the counter-attack.
Regarding the Serie A, the Nerazzurri won their last five matches with an 18-4 aggregate. That includes a 3-1 victory over Lazio, one of the best defensive units in the league, and a 2-0 victory over AS Roma, one of the UEFA Europa League semifinalists.
Most recently, they fulfilled their role as betting online favorites against Sassuolo with a 4-2 victory. Romelu Lukaku was named Man of the Match after scoring a brace. Martinez also scored. Once again, they lost possession but finished with 11 shots in total.
As mentioned before, the Nerazzurri come in as the soccer betting favorites at +160. Their road record isn’t the best, 8-3-6, but they only lost one of their last five matches away from home. Plus, they finished with a clean sheet in each of the last three.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head
Inter Milan won the first meeting between the two thanks to Edin Dzeko and a sensational header only 10 minutes into the second half. Napoli won possession with 64 percent and finished with nine shots in total, three more than the Nerazzurri, but weren’t effective in front of goal.
Here’s another reason for Napoli to be thirsty for revenge: They only won one of the last 10 meetings with Inter Milan. During that span, the total has gone under seven times, which is why the total for Sunday’s clash is set at 2½ goals with the under offering a -115 price, which could further improve via Serie A live betting.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Match Information
- Match: Napoli vs Inter Milan
- Date: Sunday, May 21
- Time: 12 p.m. ET
- Location: Stadio Diego Maradona, Naples
- Napoli vs Inter Milan Live Stream: fuboTV
Napoli vs Inter Milan Betting Lines
Napoli vs Inter Milan Picks and Prediction
Both teams are offering a great price in the sportsbook to win straight up, but the draw is offering a better one. Keep in mind that two of their last five encounters finished with a draw while two of the other three finished 1-0. In other words, you can expect a close contest. Napoli are eager to return to the winning column, but Inter Milan are highly motivated. Two equal forces clashing must finish with a draw.
The Napoli is listed at +180 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Napoli, you can win $180. Inter Milan is +160, offering a chance to win $160 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Napoli a 35.71% chance to win, with Inter Milan at 38.46%.