A Derby is always a special match, but even more when both teams are in a must-win situation. In the MLS Eastern Conference, only the New England Revolution can breathe easy. All other teams fighting for a spot in the postseason can’t afford to slow down. That list includes the New York Red Bulls and New York City FC.
NYCFC sits in third place, but it only has a three-point advantage over seventh place. The Red Bulls sit in 11th place — nine points behind seventh place — but they’ve played fewer games than the teams in front of them.
Let’s take a look at the latest news, stats, injury reports, and soccer odds for Red Bulls vs NYCFC. We’ve plenty of predictions for you to consider.
Game: New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
Location: Red Bull Arena, Harrison, N.J.
Time: Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Live Stream: MLS Live on DAZN
MLS Betting Lines
|New York Red Bulls||+½ -140||+215||3 +110o||1½ +150o/-180u|
|New York City FC||-½ +110||+110||3 -140u||1½ -120o/-110u|
Head to Head
- Previous Matches: 18
- New York Red Bulls Victories: 10 (37 goals)
- New York City FC Victories: 6 (21 goals)
- Draws: 2
This game was scheduled for August, but they didn’t play due to a waterlogged pitch. That being said, the last time they met was in 2020 and NYCFC crushed the Red Bulls 5-2. Valentin Castellanos was the Player of the Match after scoring a hat trick.
NYCFC owns a 5-2-3 record in its last 10 meetings with the Red Bulls. During that span, they scored 16 goals, allowed 14 and finished with a clean sheet twice. The total went over in five of those games.
City won at Red Bull Arena for the last time in 2017. Since then, the Red Bulls have a 3-1-0 record when facing them at home.
Why Bet on the Red Bulls?
The New York Red Bulls come off a huge 4-0 victory over Inter Miami. Patryk Klimala, Omir Fernandez and Fabio Gomes (two) were the scorers. That was the second time they finished with a clean sheet in their last five games.
Despite having improved, they sit in 11th place with 26 points thanks to a 7-5-11 record. They’ve scored 29 goals and allowed 28. Klimala leads the team in scoring with six goals and is followed by Gomes with five.
The Red Bulls have been considerably better at home. They own a 5-3-3 record (2-2-8 on the road). They also are 5-6 against the spread and 3-8 over/under.
“I think every single player understands what this week means for us. We have to bring the biggest focus in the next game. And this is New York City in our stadium. And in our stadium, we make the rules,” said head coach Gerhard Struber during an interview.
Their 4-0 win over Inter Miami on Friday was their largest margin of victory in over two years. Also, the four-goal performance marked the first time the Red Bulls scored more than twice in a match this season. There’s no doubt that they regained a lot of confidence. That could be enough for you to include them in your soccer picks.
Ryan Meara and Aaron Long are out due to injury but the rest of the team is ready to go. Their expected lineup is Carlos Coronel; Andres Reyes, Sean Nealis, Thomas Edwards, John Tolkin; Dru Yearwood, Sean Davis, Wikelman Carmona, Omir Fernandez, Wikelman Carmona, Fabio Gomes; Patryk Klimala.
Why Bet on New York City FC?
After losing two games in a row, scores and odds went back to New York City’s side and now it has gone two straight games without losing. First, they drew 3-3 to FC Dallas at home, and most recently they beat Cincinnati CF 2-1 on the road.
NYCFC sits in third place with 38 points thanks to an 11-5-8 record. They’ve scored 43 goals and allowed 28. Only New England (first place) with 48 has scored more goals. However, they’ve allowed two goals less than the Revolution.
Prior to the beginning of the season, City wasn’t among the favorites to dethrone Columbus Crew, but things have changed. Valentin Castellanos leads the team in scoring with 12 goals and is in the conversation for league’s MVP. He and Maximiliano Moralez are one of the best attacking duos in MLS.
Defensively, they’ve a nice mix of veteran and young players. Center back Maxime Chanot has been a great mentor for Chris Gloster and James Sands. Only two teams in the Eastern Conference have allowed fewer goals.
Santiago Rodriguez remains questionable due to a lower-body injury. Thiago Andrade will be available after missing their last two games due to a red card. Their expected lineup is Sean Johnson; Chris Gloster, Maxime Chanot, James Sands, Gudmundur Thorarinsson; Alfredo Morales, Nicolas Acevedo, Jesus Medina, Ismael Tajouri, Keaton Parks; Valentin Mariano Castellanos.
Final Analysis, Predictions
In a Derby, absolutely anything can happen. There’s no doubt that New York City FC is the better team, but the New York Red Bulls know how to defend their home turf. I expect a close game, with both teams scoring and the total going over. After all, Klimala and Castellanos are on fire.
Don’t forget to check the online sports betting props for this and other games to increase your winning chances. Take a shot on the correct score, half time/full time winner, and more.
Score Prediction: New York Red Bulls 2, New York City FC 2