Rarely will you see a home team in Europe’s top five leagues listed at +1200 soccer odds but that’s the case as Newcastle plays host to Manchester City. With how well Man City have been playing and how much Newcastle have struggled, it makes sense.
Premier League Leaders City will try to make it eight straight EPL wins as they head Northeast on Sunday.
- Game: Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.
- Location: St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England, U.K.
- Date/Time: Sunday, 9:15 a.m. ET
Team | Goal Line | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
Newcastle | +2 (-105) | +1200 | 3½ (+115o) | ½ -105o/-125u |
Manchester City | -2 (-115) | -500 | 3½ (-135u) | 2½ -130o/-Evu |
Draw | +625 |
Newcastle vs Manchester City Betting Preview
Head to Head
Newcastle took Manchester City down to the wire last season at St. James’ Park in a seven-goal thriller. The injured Ferran Torres bagged a hat-trick as City won 4-3.
City took care of business at the Etihad as well, picking up a 2-0 win. Manchester City have been a good pick for betting online in this fixture. They’ve won the last four meetings and seven of the last ten.
Newcastle in Midst of Brutal Stretch
Newcastle gave a surprisingly good game to a superior Liverpool team at Anfield. The Magpies took the lead as Jonjo Shelvey put a tidy strike past Liverpool keeper Alisson. The Reds got two goals back before the half as Diogo Jota and Mo Salah found the back of the net.
Liverpool were frustrated by an organized Newcastle back line for much of the second half. Newcastle even had a penalty shout as midfielder Ryan Fraser was brought down by Trent Alexander Arnold in the box. Mike Dean swallowed his whistle and Alexander Arnold put the game to bed 20 minutes later.
Alexander Arnold sent in an absolute rocket of a goal that Newcastle keeper Martin Dubravka could do absolutely nothing about. Newcastle fell 3-1 but put in a way better shift than they did in a 4-0 loss to Leicester last weekend.
The Magpies are in the midst of one of the most brutal stretches of schedule you’ll see this season. The match vs Manchester City is followed by a meeting with their intercity rivals, Manchester United.
Newcastle are currently in 19th place but there is a little bit of optimism surrounding the team with new ownership, new manager Eddie Howe and anticipation of a spending spree in January.
Relegation is still a real possibility and Newcastle need to start picking up points to avoid it. That’ll be tough if skillful winger Allan Saint-Maximin, who hobbled off the field against Liverpool, misses any time.
Big Ambitions for Manchester City
Manchester City destroyed Leeds United as they put seven unanswered goals on them on Tuesday. City handed Leeds their worst top-flight defeat and seven is tied for the biggest margin of victory in the Premier League this season.
There’s little to complain about for City fans at this point as they’ve been one of the soccer picks of the season. Man City finished first in Champions League Group A over PSG and have an excellent shot of becoming repeat Premier League Champions.
Kevin de Bruyne’s double vs Leeds was a much welcome sight as he has struggled this season when he’s been available. The world-class Belgian midfielder hasn’t registered a single assist in the Premier League despite averaging 16 over the last two seasons.
It’s a testament to City’s quality that big money signing Jack Grealish has had a hard time adjusting and key man Ferran Torres is out and they’ve still been thriving. They’ve had the best defense in the league up to this point, conceding just over half a goal per game.
It seems that the only thing that can stop City now is COVID, as manager Pep Guardiola warned.
Prediction
The sportsbook moneyline has moved significantly since opening from Newcastle +875 to Newcastle +1200. The value definitely lies with the home side and they showed flashes of getting it together vs Liverpool.
Don’t be surprised if this match is closer than anticipated. Man City could always come in complacently after putting seven on Leeds. I’m taking Newcastle +2 at St James’ Park.