We all love goals, but you know what the experts always say, “offense wins games, but defense wins championships.” Well, things will have to be the other way this Saturday, at least if Orlando City and Nashville SC want to remain in the top nine of the MLS Eastern Conference. Orlando City comes in as the MLS betting favorite, but keep in mind that its only defeat so far was at home.
Back to the Winning Column
Last weekend, Orlando City wasn’t favored in the MLS odds to defeat the Philadelphia Union at Subaru Park, but it did. Orlando City scored the opener only two minutes into the game, thanks to Martin Ojeda, while Ivan Angulo sealed the deal seven minutes later.
The defense deserves some credit since Philly finished with 26 shots but could only score one goal. The match finished 2-1 despite Union having plenty of time to try and score the equalizer.
That victory ended a five-match winless run in all competitions. However, Orlando City hasn’t put together consecutive wins since a five-match streak last August-September, which should be enough motivation to go all-in right from the start, especially at home.
Speaking of Exploria Stadium, Orlando City is 1-1-1 when playing at home, losing its last game 2-1 to Charlotte FC despite winning possession with 56% and finishing with seven shots on goal, three more than the Mints.
Orlando City finished with a clean sheet in its first two home games. That’s the main reason it comes in as the betting online favorite at +150.
Nashville SC: Not Usual
Unlike Orlando City, Nashville SC couldn’t win last weekend. Despite winning possession with 61% and finishing with 17 shots, two more than CF Cincinnati, the Six Strings ended up losing 1-0.
Nashville has lost consecutive matches for just the fifth time in club history and the third since the start of the 2021 season. The Six Strings have never lost three consecutive matches in all competitions.
That and the fact that it has only conceded two goals, and has the best defensive record in the Eastern Conference, makes it a solid underdog bet, offering a +190 price in the MLS lines.
Let’s not forget that Nashville is led by current MVP Hany Mukhtar. Yes, he hasn’t scored, but that’s just a matter of time. Meanwhile, Jacob Shaffelburg has been leading the way. He’s the team’s top scorer with two goals.
Orlando City vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 8
- Orlando City Victories: 1 (12 goals)
- Nashville SC Victories: 2 (13 goals)
- Draws: 5
Last season, these two collided once at the U.S. Open Cup, a tournament that Orlando City won. They met in the quarterfinals, and it was a rollercoaster of emotions. Nashville SC was up 2-0 by minute 52 thanks to a brace scored by Hany Mukhtar. Later, Rodrigo Schlegel scored another brace in the last five minutes to send the match to penalties, which Orlando City won 6-5.
While five of their previous eight meetings finished with a draw, they’ve never drawn 0-0, meaning you can expect goals. The Las Vegas MLS odds set the total for this match at 2½ goals, with the over offering a +105 price.
Orlando City vs Nashville SC Match Information
- Match: Orlando City vs Nashville SC
- Date: Saturday, April 1st
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando
- Orlando City vs Nashville SC Stream: fubo.tv
Orlando City vs Nashville SC Betting Lines
Orlando City vs Nashville SC Picks & Prediction
Orlando City finished with a clean sheet in three of its last five home games. On the other hand, Nashville SC finished with a clean sheet in two of its last five games on the road and only conceded one in the other three. You can expect a close, back-and-forth battle that will end in a draw, which is precisely my recommendation for your online gambling ticket. In fact, here’s a freebie: the final score will be 1-1.
Orlando City is listed at +150 in our Vegas MLS lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Orlando City, you have a chance to win $150. Nashville SC is +190, offering a chance to win $190 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Orlando Citya 40.00% chance to win, with Nashville SC at 34.48%.