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Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

First Leg of Copa del Rey Semifinals

While we talk about this Copa del Rey match, it’s inevitable to mention La Liga since we’re talking about its seventh and eighth place, meaning you can expect a thrilling game with plenty of scoring opportunities. Despite playing as the host, Osasuna comes in as the betting online underdog. After all, Athletic Bilbao has qualified for two of the last three finals.

Osasuna: Home Sweet Home

It’s excellent for Osasuna to start the Semifinals at home since four of its previous five Copa del Rey games were on the road.

Osasuna's Spanish defender David Garcia (2nd-L) celebrates with teammates after scoring his team's first goal during the Spanish league football match between CA Osasuna and FC Barcelona
Osasuna's Spanish defender David Garcia (2nd-L) celebrates with teammates after scoring his team's first goal during the Spanish league football match between CA Osasuna and FC Barcelona // Cesar Manso - AFP

First, Osasuno crushed Fuentes 4-1 with Kike Garcia as Man of the Match after scoring a brace. Later, it defeated Arnedo 3-1 and Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1, also on the road. Garcia scored in both.

Osasuna finally met a team from La Liga in the Round of 16. The match against Betis finished 2-2, with Osasuna winning the penalty shootout 4-2. Most recently, it defeated Sevilla 2-1. Abdessamad Ezzalzouli saved the day with an astonishing goal in overtime.

Osasuna defeated Sevilla once again on Sunday. The La Liga match finished 3-2, with Ezzalzouli as the savior after scoring the winning goal five minutes before the final whistle. You can expect Osasuna to be highly motivated for this match and worth considering for your Copa del Rey betting ticket.

Athletic Bilbao: Balanced Team

Like Osasuna, Athletic Bilbao played four of the previous five rounds on the road. First, Los Leones eliminated Alzira 2-0, with Alex Berenguer and Nico Williams as the scorers. Later, they defeated Sestao River 1-0. Raul Garcia was the scorer. Their best match so far was in the Round of 32, in which they crushed Eldense 6-1. Berenguer was the Man of the Match after scoring a brace.

Bilbao met a team from La Liga for the first time in the Round of 16, defeating Espanyol 1-0 with Oscar de Marcos as the scorer. Most recently, it defeated Valencia 3-1 on Jan. 26, with Williams, Iker Muniain and Mikel Vesga (own goal) as the scorers.

Berenguer and Williams are the main reasons to include the visitors in your Copa del Rey picks. The visitors have won five of their last eight matches in all competitions.

Athletic Bilbao lost its last two La Liga matches, so we could assume that winning the Copa del Rey is its top priority, earning a ticket for the UEFA Europa League.

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head

  • Previous Matches: 87
  • Osasuna Victories: 19 (84 goals)
  • Athletic Bilbao Victories: 42 (142 goals)
  • Draws: 26

Here’s another reason why you can expect a close battle. These two already met once in La Liga, and it ended with a goalless draw. Athletic Bilbao was the host and won possession with 61%, finishing with 14 more shots in total than Osasuna but had no luck in front of goal.

No need to worry, though. That was the first 0-0 between the two since the 2009-10 season.

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Match Information

  • Date: Wednesday, Mar. 1st
  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: El Sadar, Pamplona
  • Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Live Stream:

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Lines

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Picks and Prediction

Unlike the previous four rounds, both teams get to play at home in the Semifinals. The second leg is scheduled for April 4.

I expect both teams to take extreme measures not to lose, especially Athletic Bilbao, which is why I think you should wager on the draw, which offers a +200 price in the Las Vegas odds. Osasuna has allowed 23 goals, while Athletic Bilbao has 26. In the end, we’re talking about equal forces.

The Osasuna are listed at +210 in our Vegas Copa del Rey lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Osasuna, you have a chance to win $210. The Athletic Bilbao are +150, offering a chance to win $150 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Osasuna a 32.26% chance to win, with Athletic Bilbao at 40.00%.

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