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Premier League Picks: Back Liverpool to Beat Burnley

Despite drawing their last two league matches to Manchester United and Arsenal, Liverpool have enjoyed a strong start to the 2023/24 season and sit second in the table, level on points with Aston Villa and one point behind Arsenal. We’re backing them to pick up their 12th league win of the campaign as they travel to Burnley in our Premier League betting predictions.


Premier League Picks: Back Liverpool to Beat Burnley
Egyptian striker #11 Mohamed Salah | Oli Scarff / AFP

Burnley vs Liverpool Game Information

  • Game: Burnley vs Liverpool
  • Date/Time: Tuesday, December 26 – 12:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley
  • Burnley vs Liverpool Live Stream: Fubo.tv


Whilst Burnley (3-2-13) occupy the relegation zone and sit three points away from safety, Liverpool (11-6-1) enter the match as overwhelming favorites at -276. The match will take place at Turf Moor on Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. and will be broadcast on USA Network.


Burnley vs Liverpool Odds and Spreads

  • Burnley have lost eight of nine home matches this season, the only exception being a 5-0 win against last-placed Sheffield United who sit two points behind 19th-placed Burnley.
  • Liverpool have won four away matches in the league this season, including their last two.
  • Burnley have conceded 36 goals this season – only Sheffield United (44) have let in more.
  • Since taking charge of Liverpool in 2015, Jurgen Klopp has won all five of his Premier League matches on Boxing Day by a combined scoreline of 17-1.
  • Burnley have conceded 2+ goals in 11 league matches this season.
  • Liverpool have won their last three matches against Burnley.
  • Burnley have lost five of their last seven Boxing Day fixtures.
  • Liverpool have not dropped points at Turf Moor since August 2016.

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 goals (-110)

Burnley have strung together some decent results as of late, drawing 1-1 to Brighton and beating Fulham 2-0 at the weekend. Since the start of November, they have conceded more than two goals just once – a 3-1 loss to Arsenal on November 11. Except for that game and the win against Sheffield United, only one of their matches has featured over 3.5 goals since the September international break – a 4-1 loss to Chelsea on October 7. Meanwhile, only one Liverpool match has featured over 3.5 goals since the October break – a 4-3 win against Fulham on December 3.

Moneyline Pick: Liverpool (-260)

Liverpool thrashed West Ham 5-1 midweek to advance to the EFL Cup semifinals, their third win this season against a claret side, having previously beaten West Ham 3-1 and Aston Villa 3-0. We’re backing them to make it four in a row in our soccer betting picks as they take on Burnley, who have grown accustomed to humiliating defeats at Turf Moor since earning promotion. Burnley are conceding two goals a game, whilst Liverpool are scoring just over two goals a game – all signs point to a win for the Reds.

Player Prop Pick: Mohamed Salah to Score or Assist (-201)

At 31 years of age, Mohamed Salah continues to show why he is one of the best players in world football. He has scored or assisted in seven of Liverpool’s last nine matches in all competitions, opening the scoring against Arsenal at the weekend and entering the top 10 Premier League goal scorers of all time with 151 goals. The Egyptian forward has 19 goal contributions so far, the most in the Premier League, and he’s a surefire addition to your player prop picks.

Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction

Liverpool 2, Burnley 0

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