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Real Madrid, Villarreal Collide with a Lot on the Line

Madrid could win the title, Villarreal access to UEL

Real Madrid haven’t lost in their last 17 domestic games, but they still couldn’t catch Atletico Madrid at the top, that’s why in order to win the title, they need to beat Villarreal and wait for Atletico to draw or lose against Valladolid.

As for Villarreal, the “Yellow Submarine” will be playing to win a ticket to the UEFA Europa League, but they also need some help. Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports, and the La Liga Odds for Real Madrid vs Villarreal while making some predictions.

Real Madrid's Spanish defender Nacho Fernandez celebrates after scoring a goal against Athletic Club Bilbao
ANDER GILLENEA / AFP
  • Game: Real Madrid vs Villarreal
  • Location: Alfredo Di Stefano Stadium, Madrid
  • Time: Saturday, May 22, 12 p.m. ET
  • Television: beIN Sports
  • Real Madrid vs Villarreal Stream: fubo.tv

La Liga Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Real Madrid -1 -135 -230 3 -130o 2 -140o / +110u
Villarreal +1 +115 +550 3 +110u 1 +115o / -145u
Draw +425

Head to Head

  • Competitive Matches: 43
  • Real Madrid Victories: 25 (89 goals)
  • Villarreal Victories: 4 (42 goals)
  • Draws: 14

The last time they met, Real Madrid scored two minutes into the game thanks to a header from Mariano, but Gerard Moreno scored the tie from the penalty spot with 14 minutes left. That was the third draw between the two in their last five matchups.

Villareal managed to defeat Real Madrid only once in their last 10 encounters (1-5-4). They scored 14 goals, allowed 19, and a goalless draw happened only once.

Real Madrid won 2-1 the last time they met in the Spanish capital. Karim Benzema scored both goals.

Why bet on Real Madrid?

As we already mentioned, Real Madrid haven’t lost in their last 17 games, and that includes matches against Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, and Sevilla, but they also lost some points against weaker rivals like Getafe and Real Betis.

The talent of the roster is not in doubt, but their physical strength is. “Los Blancos” suffered a lot of injuries throughout the season, and they couldn’t keep up with the intense rhythm that the UEFA Champions League demands, losing in the Semifinals against Chelsea.

Despite all obstacles, including not playing at Santiago Bernabeu stadium due to a remodel, and rumors about manager Zinedine Zidane leaving at the end of the season, the team is on the verge of winning the title, and that’s what matters.

“The most important thing isn’t me or anyone else, it’s the team. We’re only thinking about the Villarreal game because, with all that’s happened this year, we’re going to deliver 90 minutes of our best football to try and win the title,” said Zizou to the press prior to the game.

They’ll have to do it without Eden Hazard and Toni Kroos, who were injured during one of the last training sessions, but Sergio Ramos and Raphael Varane will be back.

Real Madrid owns a 12-3-3 record at home, 10-8 against the spread, and 3-12-3 over/under. They scored two goals in three of their last four home games.

The home side’s expected lineup is Thibaut Courtois, Eder Militao, Raphael Varane, Sergio Ramos, Miguel Gutierrez, Casemiro, Luka Modric, Federico Valverde, Marco Asensio, Karim Benzema, and Vinicius Junior.

Why Bet on Villarreal?

Villareal will not go to Madrid for a walk, they go with the intention of getting a victory to finish in the top six and play in the UEFA Europa League next season. They could also get a ticket by beating Manchester United in the Grand Finale on May 26, but they’re not the favorites at the UEL Odds.

Right now, they sit in seventh place with 58 points, and they could climb to fifth with a victory plus a loss from Real Sociedad against Osasuna. They also could finish sixth with a victory or draw and a loss from Real Betis against Celta de Vigo.

The “Yellow Submarine” comes from crushing Sevilla 4-0, and prior to that, they defeated Valladolid 0-2. Their road record is 7-7-4, 9-8-1 against the spread, and 10-7-1 over/under.

We’ve to take a moment here to praise Gerard Moreno, who has scored 23 goals, second-best behind Lionel Messi (30), and has become one of the best strikers in La Liga. Rumor has it he could be playing in the English Premier League next season.

Their injury report includes Juan Foyth, Vicente Iborra, and Samuel Chukwueze, but they haven’t missed them much. Villarreal’s expected lineup is Sergio Asenjo, Ramiro Funes Mori, Raul Albiol, Pau Torres, Alberto Moreno, Yeremi Pino, Miguel Trigueros, Dani Parejo, Moi Gomez, Gerard Moreno, and Carlos Bacca.

Final Analysis and Predictions

Expect some fireworks, not only for what’s on the line but because Real Madrid and Villarreal have both scored in their last six meetings. Also, the total went over three goals in four of the last six games between these two.

Individually, we’ve two of La Liga’s top scorers in Karim Benzema and Gerard Moreno, and I’m sure both want to end the season on a high note.

Don’t forget to check the Soccer Betting Props to increase your winning chances by predicting the Correct Score, Half time/Full-time winner, and more. Our score prediction is offering a +2000 price.

Prediction: Real Madrid 3, Villarreal 2

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