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Real Madrid Slight Favorite in Derby

La Liga Leaders Await Visit from Atletico Madrid

There’s no doubt that Real Madrid has met expectations as one of the soccer betting favorites to dethrone Atletico Madrid. Los Blancos sit in first place with an eight-point advantage over second place. That advantage increases to 10 points regarding fourth place, which is where Atletico is sitting.

We’re also talking about the two top scoring teams in La Liga, but Derbies are usually tough, tight battles. That’s why the under is offering a -115 price.

real madrid vs atletico madrid 2021 la liga fixture 17
PIERRE-PHILIPPE MARCOU / AFP

Real Madrid Vs Atletico Madrid 2021 La Liga Fixture 17

Real Madrid Hot Streak

No Karim Benzema? No problem. Real Madrid won its sixth straight La Liga game without the Frenchman. It was a 2-0 victory over Real Sociedad. They also beat Inter Milan 2-0 in the UEFA Champions League without him.

Don’t get me wrong, Benzema is an awesome player, but I wanted to give the entire team some credit. In fact, Benzema is expected to return in the Derby, making Madrid an even more dangerous team. He leads the league’s scoring chart with 12 goals.

Real Madrid would deserve to be the betting online favorite even if Benzema doesn’t recuperate. Vinicius Junior has scored 10 goals and can lead the attack. Luka Jovic has regained some confidence after playing two straight games. Also, Marco Asensio scored against Inter Milan and is proving he’s ready to increase the workload after coming back from injury.

Los Blancos haven’t lost at Santiago Bernabeu. They’re 5-2-0 and scored in five of those games. They also finished with a clean sheet three times. I think Thibaut Courtois is finally meeting expectations. He has become a true leader on and off the field.

Real Madrid’s predicted lineup: Thibaut Courtois; Danny Carvajal, Eder Militao, David Alaba, Ferland Mendy; Luka Modric, Casemiro, Toni Kroos; Marco Asensio, Vinicius Junior, Karim Benzema.

Atletico Madrid to Bounce Back

The reigning champions sit in fourth place thanks to an 8-5-2 record. Most recently, they lost 2-1 to Mallorca. Los Colchoneros opened the can thanks to Matheus Cunha, but then allowed two goals in the last 10 minutes.

Midweek, they regained a lot of confidence by beating Porto 3-1 in the UEFA Champions League. Antoine Griezmann, Angel Correa and Yannick Carrasco were the scorers. That result allowed them to advance to the Round of 16.

Here’s another reason to include Atletico in your soccer picks: They’ve had good results against other title contenders. They drew 2-2 to Real Sociedad and beat Real Betis 3-0. They also beat Barcelona 2-0. I know los Azulgranas aren’t having a good season, but they still are a powerhouse.

Luis Suarez leads the team in scoring with seven goals. He came off the bench against Mallorca, but I don’t expect that to happen at Santiago Bernabeu. Knowing Atletico manager Diego Simeone, the visitors will rely on the counter-attack and Suarez is perfect for that.

No major injuries to report here. Los Colchoneros have no excuse to not go all-in.

Atletico Madrid’s predicted lineup: Jan Oblak; Sime Vrsaljko, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Mario Hermoso; Marcos Llorente, Thomas Lemar, Koke, Rodrigo de Paul, Yannick Carrasco; Antoine Griezmann, Luis Suarez.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head

  • Previous Matches: 209
  • Real Madrid Victories: 105 (350 goals)
  • Atletico Madrid Victories: 53 (269 goals)
  • Draws: 51

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid are usually close games. Last season, Real Madrid won 2-0 at home with goals from Casemiro and Oblak (own goal). Their second meeting ended 1-1 at Wanda Metropolitano. Suarez scored for Atletico while Benzema struck for the visitors.

Atletico last beat Real Madrid, in La Liga in the 2015-16 season. Also, the total went over in two of their last 10 meetings.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Game Information

  • Date: Sunday
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid
  • Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Live Stream: fuboTV

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Real Madrid -½ +105 +105 2½ -105o 1½ +105o/-135u
Atletico Madrid +½ -125 +265 2½ -115u ½ -230o/+180u
Draw +255

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

I’m really impressed with Real Madrid. I thought they would suffer more without Benzema, but they managed to keep winning. The thing is that Atletico Madrid is way better than Real Sociedad and they’re highly motivated after surviving in the UCL.

Our football prediction is a draw. Plus, both will score but the total won’t go over.

Score Prediction: Real Madrid 1, Atletico Madrid 1

Pick: Draw (+255)

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