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Salernitana vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

The Rossoneri Suffered Last Season at Stadio Arechi

The Italian Serie A returns on Wednesday with a crucial match in Salerno. Salernitana is eager to return to the winning column in order to keep the top six hopes alive and qualify for a UEFA competition. As for AC Milan, the Rossoneri must win to remain in the title race. A draw, like it happened last season when they collided at Stadio Arechi, would be devastating for the visitors, who come in as the soccer betting favorites at -210.

Let’s check the latest Serie A odds, stats, injury reports, and Serie A lines for Salernitana vs AC Milan. We’ve plenty of Serie A betting odds for you to consider.

AC Milan's French forward Olivier Giroud goes for the ball during the Italian Serie A
AC Milan's French forward Olivier Giroud / Filippo Monteforte - AFP

Salernitana: Fresh Start

The home side is hoping for a fresh start after losing its last two games before the 2022 World Cup break. They lost 2-1 to Fiorentina and 3-0 to Monza. In fact, the Granata haven’t won since Oct. 30 because they drew 2-2 to Cremonese prior to both defeats.

Most recently, the Granata lost 3-1 to Alanyaspor in a friendly match on Dec. 15. Federico Bonazzoli was the scorer. Besides Bonazzoli, the Granata attacking unit includes Boulaye Dia, who has scored six goals, and Krzysztof Piatek, who has scored three. Overall, Salernitana scored more goals than AS Roma, the team sitting in seventh place. The Granata are in 12th.

Salernitana is offering a +575 price in the sportsbook to win straight up, which is not bad, considering they’ve been much better when playing at home. The team owns a 3-2-2 record at Stadio Arechi, while 1-3-4 on the road. Plus, it scored in all their home games but one and finished with a clean sheet twice. Summing up, having their first game after the WC break at home is music to their ears.

AC Milan: Close Race

AC Milan is currently sitting in second place with 33 points, eight less than Napoli. Therefore, the Rossoneri can’t afford to lose. Yes, there are a lot of games left, but 11 points in such a competitive league like the Serie A would be too much.

Prior to the WC break, the Rossoneri defeated Fiorentina 2-1 thanks to an own goal scored by Nikola Milenkovic. Rafael Leao also scored. Things were a bit different in their last road game, which was against Cremonese and finished 0-0. The Rossoneri have lost only one game on the road, but they’ve drawn in three.

Overall, the visitors have scored 29 goals, the third-best record in the league. Individually, Leao has been carrying the load; the Portuguese is the team’s top scorer with six goals. He’s followed by Olivier Giroud, who has scored five. Giroud is expected to be highly motivated after having a great WC with France. The veteran striker ended up scoring five goals in the tournament.

Defensively, the Rossoneri allow one goal per game. Not bad, but it could be better. Some bad news here since Fode Ballo-Toure will be out for several weeks due to injury. Malick Thiaw is expected to take his place in the starting lineup.

As mentioned before, the Rossoneri are the betting online favorites at -210, with a -1 (-130) spread, meaning they must win by two goals.

Salernitana vs AC Milan Head-to-Head

  • Previous Matches: 6
  • Salernitana Victories: 1 (9 goals)
  • AC Milan Victories: 4 (14 goals)
  • Draws: 1

Last season, AC Milan had no trouble defeating Salernitana at San Siro (2-0), but things were completely different at Stadio Arechi. The second leg finished 2-2. Ante Rebic scored the equalizer for the Rossoneri in the 77th minute.

We could practically say that Salernitana has never beaten AC Milan because their only victory over the Rossoneri was in the 1947-48 season, which could be a motivation factor for the Granata.

Salernitana vs AC Milan Match Information

  • Match: Salernitana vs AC Milan
  • Date: Wednesday, Jan. 4th
  • Time: 6:30 a.m. ET
  • Location: Stadio Arechi, Salerno
  • Salernitana vs AC Milan Live Stream: fuboTV

Salernitana vs AC Milan Betting Lines

Salernitana vs AC Milan Picks & Prediction

The first game after an international break is always tricky, especially for teams such as AC Milan. Why? Because a lot of players return tired or out of rhythm. I don’t expect the Rossoneri to lose, but I do expect them to suffer enough for me to recommend you include the draw in your soccer picks.

Here’s another reason: the Rossoneri conceded at least one goal in five of their seven road games.

The AC Milan are listed at -210 in our Vegas Soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on AC Milan, you have a chance to win $48. The Salernitana are +575, offering a chance to win $575 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives AC Milan a 67.74% chance to win, with Salernitana at 14.81%.

Salernitana vs AC Milan Match Detail

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