Nobody believed in Sevilla at the beginning of the season, but here they’re fighting with Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid, and Barcelona for La Liga title. If they want to remain in the race, they need to beat a Real Madrid team who’s very hurt after losing the UEFA Champions League Semifinal against Chelsea.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the La Liga Odds Real Madrid vs Sevilla while making some predictions.
Game: Real Madrid vs Sevilla
Location: Alfredo Di Stefano Stadium, Madrid
Time: Sunday, May 9, 3 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
La Liga Betting Lines
|Real Madrid||-½ -105||-105||2½ -115o||1½ +105o/-135u|
|Sevilla||+½ +115||+280||2½ -105u||1 -110o/-120u|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 168
- Real Madrid Victories: 92 (363 goals)
- Sevilla Victories: 48 (227 goals)
- Draws: 28
The last time they met, Real Madrid defeated Sevilla 0-1 thanks to an own goal by Yassine Bounou. Real Madrid won the last four in a row, including three clean sheets, while the last Sevilla’s victory was in the 2018-19 season.
No draws in their last 10 encounters; Real Madrid won seven and Sevilla three. “Los Blancos” scored 22 goals, allowed 10, finished with a clean sheet five times and failed to score only once.
Their last matchup at Real Madrid home turf finished 2-1. The last time Sevilla defeated Real Madrid on the road was in the 2008-09 season.
Why bet on Real Madrid?
The reigning champions are hurt, and someone has to suffer the consequences, the only problem is that several players are far from their best level, including captain Sergio Ramos and Eden Hazard, while some others are physically exhausted.
Real Madrid won just one of their last four games in all competitions, scoring and allowing three goals, but now they can focus exclusively on winning La Liga, crucial for some players to continue on the team next season.
“Being at Real Madrid, the best club in the world, brings with it a bit of pressure, but that’s a good thing, I enjoy it. I need to show what I can do in every game and day in, day out in training to earn my place and respect from the rest of the players,” said defender Eder Militao prior to this Sunday’s game.
Real Madrid could climb to first place by beating Sevilla plus a Barcelona victory/draw against Atletico Madrid.
Curiously enough, Real Madrid has lost more games at home than on the road; they own a 12-2-3 record when playing at Alfredo Di Stefano Stadium (10-6-1 on the road), 10-7 against the spread and 2-12-3 over/under. If they really want to win the title, losing at home is no longer an option.
Lucas Vazquez is out due to injury, while Raphael Varane remains doubtful. Real Madrid’s expected lineup is Thibaut Courtois, Alvaro Odriozola, Eder Militao, Sergio Ramos, Marcelo, Casemiro, Luka Modric, Toni Kroos, Rodrygo, Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior.
Why Bet on Sevilla?
All Sevilla players are well rested, and they can’t afford to lose any more points, at least if they want to fight for the title until the end of the season.
Last Monday, they lost 0-1 to Athletic Bilbao, but they won the previous five games in a row, including a huge 1-0 victory against Atletico Madrid. Sevilla has 70 points, six less than Atletico Madrid and four less than Real Madrid and Barcelona, that’s why they simply can’t lose this one.
Sevilla owns the third-best defensive unit in the league after allowing 27 goals in 34 games. Offensively, Youssef En-Nesyri has become their primary weapon; he’s the team’s top scorer with 17 goals.
They own a 10-3-4 record when playing on the road; 10-6-1 against the spread, 6-9-2 over/under. A Sevilla 1-0 victory is offering a +850 price over the latest Soccer Props, hinting an upset wouldn’t be such a shocker.
No major injuries to report here. Their expected lineup is Bono, Jesus Navas, Jules Kounde, Diego Carlos, Karim Rekik, Joan Jordan, Nemanja Gudelj, Alejandro Gomez, Olivier Torres, Suso and Youssef En-Nesyri.
Final Analysis and Predictions
Both need to win; both need to go all-in. Expect a shootout, especially during the second half; more goals have been scored in the second half in eight of the last 10 games between Real Madrid and Sevilla.
Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2, Sevilla 2