Prior to the start of the season, Sevilla were considered a dark horse to win the La Liga title. Now, after only winning one of their last five matches, Los Blanquirrojos are in 17th place. Almeria also only won one of their last five games, but their case is even worse since they’re in the relegation zone. Summing up, you can expect a back-and-forth battle, for which the home side comes in as the soccer betting favorites.
Last weekend, Sevilla were humiliated by Atletico Madrid. The first half finished 2-1, but Los Colchoneros ended up winning 6-1. Memphis Depay and Alvaro Morata led the way with each scoring a brace.
The good news is that Los Blanquirrojos regained some confidence by defeating Fenerbahce 2-0 in the UEFA Europa League with Joan Jordan and Erik Lamela as the scorers. The defense also deserves a lot of credit since the visitors finished with 12 shots, five on goal.
There is more good news, because after a very rocky first half of the season, Youssef En-Nesyri finally woke up. The 25-year-old striker is the team’s top scorer with five goals. In January he hadn’t scored a single goal.
He’s the main reason for you to consider including Sevilla in your soccer picks. There’s also the fact that they’ve won two more games at home than on the road. Win or lose, Los Blanquirrojos scored in each of their last six games at Sanchez Pizjuan. That explains the -135 price they’re offering in the sportsbook to win straight up.
Almeria: Back to Reality
Two weeks ago, Almeria pulled off a huge stunner by defeating Barcelona 1-0 with El Bilal Toure as the scorer. Los Rojiblancos won even though they lost possession with 27 percent and finished with six shots total, seven less than Los Azulgranas.
Last Saturday, they lost 2-0 to Villarreal. Once again, they lost possession with 28 percent and finished with six shots in total, 11 less than the Yellow Submarine. In fact, Los Rojiblancos didn’t take a single shot on goal. That can’t happen at Sanchez Pizjuan.
Individually, Toure is the main reason for you to consider including the visitors in your betting online ticket, especially at +400. Toure, who’s only 21, has scored six goals. He’s followed by Leo Baptistao with three.
While a victory could boost Almeria out of the relegation zone, a defeat could make them fall to 19th place. That should be enough motivation for them to go all-in right from the start. Getting their first road victory should also be enough motivation. That’s right, they’re 0-3-8 when playing away from home. That explains the price they’re offering in the soccer lines.
Sevilla vs Almeria Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 14
- Sevilla Victories: 10 (21 goals)
- Almeria Victories: 4 (16 goals)
- Draws: 0
In August, Almeria came from behind to defeat Sevilla 2-1. Oliver Torres scored the opener while Largie Ramazani scored the equalizer, both in the first half. Later, 10 minutes into the second, Umar Sadiq scored the winning goal. It was a busy day for the referee, who showed 13 yellow cards in total.
If there’s something you can expect from these two, it’s goals. The total has gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings. Plus, both scored in four of their last five encounters. By the way, the total for Sunday’s match is set at 2½ goals with the over offering a -115 price in the latest soccer odds.
Sevilla vs Almeria Match Information
- Date: Sunday, March 12th
- Time: 11:15 a.m. ET
- Location: Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville
- Sevilla vs Almeria Live Stream: fubo.tv
Sevilla vs Almeria Betting Lines
Sevilla vs Almeria Picks and Predictions
Forget about an upset, but, as recently mentioned, you can expect fireworks. First, Sevilla is better than 17th place and En-Nesyri is on fire. Second, Almeria’s attacking unit also includes Luis Suarez, who’s on loan from Olympique Marseille. Finally, with only 14 games left, both have nothing to lose and much to win.
Sevilla is listed at -135 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Sevilla, you have a chance to win $74. The Almeria is +400, offering a chance to win $400 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Sevilla a 57.45% chance to win, with Almeria at 20.00%.