A couple of months ago, Sevilla was playing in the UEFA Champions League. Los Rojiblancos even managed to finish third in their group to qualify for the Europa League. However, things have been completely different in La Liga, where they’re fighting to avoid relegation. Even so, they come in as the betting online favorites to defeat Mallorca, a team that’s highly motivated after taking down one of the league’s powerhouses a few days ago.
Sevilla: Glad to Be Back Home
Last Sunday, Sevilla lost 3-0 to Barcelona. I hope you followed Alex’s wagering advice. Los Rojiblancos only took one shot on target and lost possession with 34%. That sounds pretty bad, right? Well, it was.
The good news is that Saturday’s game is at Sanchez-Pizjuan, where Sevilla won its last three matches with a 6-1 aggregate, finishing with a clean sheet in the last two. Most recently, it defeated Elche 3-0 on Jan. 28, with Youssef En-Nesyri scoring a brace and Marcos Acuna adding another goal. Those were En-Nesyri’s first two goals of the season, at least in La Liga, so…welcome back!
Last Sunday against Barcelona, head coach Jorge Desio decided to play 4-5-1, with En-Nesyri as the only striker. Clearly, that didn’t work, so you can expect Los Rojiblancos to return to 4-3-3 on Saturday. You can also expect Rafa Mir, the team’s top scorer with three goals, to return to the starting lineup.
Sevilla dominates the Las Vegas odds, offering a -115 price to win straight up. Besides winning its last three home games, it scored in six of its last seven, and both losses were by one goal. So Sevilla is better when playing at home.
Mallorca: Aiming for Europe
Last Sunday, Mallorca pulled off a huge stunner by defeating Real Madrid 1-0 thanks to an own goal scored by Nacho Fernandez. Los Blancos won possession with 74% and finished with 20 shots, but Mallorca’s defense only allowed one on target.
Los Piratas sit in 10th place with 28 points, only four less than Rayo Vallecano, the team sitting in fifth. Finishing in the top six has become Mallorca’s main objective since that would allow it to play in a UEFA competition.
Besides being highly motivated, keep in mind that Mallorca finished with a clean sheet in three of its last five La Liga games. Offensively, Vedat Muriqi is having a great season. He’s the team’s top scorer with eight goals.
Mallorca is offering a +395 price to win straight up, which could turn very profitable if you include them in your soccer picks.
Sevilla vs Mallorca Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 66
- Sevilla Victories: 29 (100 goals)
- Mallorca Victories: 15 (64 goals)
- Draws: 22
Here’s another reason for Sevilla to be in control of the soccer lines for Saturday’s clash: Los Rojiblancos defeated Mallorca 1-0 in October with Nemanja Gudelj as the scorer. Curiously enough, Gudelj’s goal was Sevilla’s only shot on target, while Los Piratas took five.
That was the fifth straight time that the total went under 2½ goals in a match between these two. No wonder this time the total is set at two goals.
Sevilla vs Mallorca Match Information
- Date/Time: Saturday, Feb. 11st, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Match: Sevilla vs Mallorca
- Location: Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville
- Sevilla vs Mallorca Live Stream: fuboTV
Sevilla vs Mallorca Betting Lines
Sevilla vs Mallorca Picks and Prediction
I’m really surprised by Sevilla’s bad season. I didn’t have Los Rojiblancos among the favorites to win the title, but they used to be a very dangerous dark horse. That being said, I expect them to turn things around to avoid relegation at the end of the season. This Saturday, they’ll end up winning a point since Mallorca is playing at a great level and own the third-best defense in the league. Plus, four of its last 10 meetings finished in a draw.
Sevilla are listed at -115 in our Vegas La liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Sevilla, you have a chance to win $87. The Mallorca are +395, offering a chance to win $395 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Sevilla a 53.49% chance to win, with Mallorca at 20.20%