After an extremely rocky start, Sevilla is finally turning things around, enough to be heavily favored in the La Liga lines to defeat Osasuna even though the visitors are five points ahead in the La Liga standings. Of course, Osasuna not winning any of its last five games has much to do with that, and now the club has no margin for error.
Sevilla has failed to meet expectations this season. Even so, the club is still aiming to finish in the top six and win the UEFA Europa League along the way.
Midweek, Sevilla survived in Eindhoven despite losing 2-0 to PSV in the second leg of the UEL playoffs. Sevilla won the first leg 3-0, meaning it advanced to the Round of 16, where it’s the betting online favorite to eliminate Fenerbahce.
Regarding La Liga, Sevilla drew 1-1 to Rayo Vallecano last week, exactly as we predicted. It was a very tough road test for Los Rojiblancos, but they survived thanks to Suso’s goal in the first half and a great performance by Yassine Bounou, who has become one of the best goalkeepers in the league.
No Sevilla player is among the league’s top scorers, but luckily for the club, Youssef En-Nesyri woke up from a very long nap. He’s now the team’s top scorer with three goals, the same as Erik Lamela, Rafa Mir and Oliver Torres.
Sevilla is in control of the odds board thanks to a -115 price, which is very generous, considering it’s 4-3-4 when playing at home.
Osasuna: Not Bad
Last weekend, Osasuna played host to Real Madrid, putting up a good fight but still losing 2-0. Los Blancos scored the opener in the 78th minute, while they sealed the deal in stoppage time. Osasuna finished with 11 shots in total, the same as the visitors.
Curiously enough, Osasuna has lost more matches at home than on the road. Its road record isn’t the best at 2-6-3, but the club scored in six of its last 10 matches away from home and finished with a clean sheet three times.
Ezequiel Avila is having a great season. He’s the team’s top scorer with seven goals. That’s a lot considering Osasuna has only scored 19 goals. No other team in the top 10 has scored fewer goals. On the other hand, Osasuna has conceded 21 goals. That’s less than Real Sociedad, the team sitting in third place.
The visitors are offering a +360 price in the sportsbook to win straight up. At this point, Osasuna has nothing to lose and much to win, making it a dangerous underdog.
Sevilla vs Osasuna Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 102
- Sevilla Victories: 44 (133 goals)
- Osasuna Victories: 33 (111 goals)
- Draws: 25
These two already met twice, and Osasuna won both 2-1. First, they collided in La Liga back in August, where Osasuna won thanks to Ezequiel Avila and Aimar Oroz. The referee showed eight yellow cards. Later, they met on Jan. 25 for the Copa del Rey Quarterfinals. Osasuna won that in overtime.
Sevilla did win seven of their last 10 meetings in La Liga, failing to score once and finishing with a clean sheet five times. In other words, you can expect a back-and-forth battle.
Sevilla vs Osasuna Match Information
- Match: Sevilla vs Osasuna
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 26th
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Live Stream: fubo.tv
Sevilla vs Osasuna Betting Lines
Sevilla vs Osasuna Picks and Prediction
Sevilla is back, no doubt about it. Besides being highly motivated, several players got some rest in Eindhoven, including En-Nesyri, Torres, Lucas Ocampos and Jesus Navas, meaning all of them will be at 100% for Sunday’s contest.
Osausna will put up a good fight, no doubt about it. Nevertheless, I believe the home side will end up winning, for which it’ll need to score more than 1½ goals, which is precisely my recommendation for your La Liga picks.
Sevilla is listed at -115 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Sevilla, you have a chance to win $87. The Osasuna are +360, offering a chance to win $360 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Sevillaa 53.49% chance to win, with Osasuna at 21.74%.