Sunday’s match will be Southampton’s last in the Premier League, at least for a season. The Saints are already relegated and can’t avoid finishing dead last, which is why the club is a huge Premier League betting underdog despite playing at home.
This will also be a farewell party for several Liverpool players, including Roberto Firmino and James Milner, who leave the club on free transfers. The Reds will play without any pressure since they already secured a spot in the top six.
Southampton: No Surprise
Believe it or not, Southampton hasn’t won a single game since March 4. Since then, the Saints are 0-3-9. No wonder they’re dead last. However, Southampton is one of the few teams that didn’t lose against Arsenal.
Most recently, Southampton lost 3-1 to Brighton, losing possession with 37% and finishing with only one shot on goal. Mohamed Elyounoussi scored their lone goal.
Southampton’s roster includes high-profile players such as Theo Walcott, James Ward-Prowse, Carlos Alcaraz and Kyle Walkers-Peters, to name a few. I can assure you all of them will receive plenty of offers to remain in the Premier League.
Regarding the Premier League lines, the club is offering a +675 price to win straight up. Its home record isn’t the best, but it managed to draw against Chelsea, West Ham United, Arsenal and Tottenham. I’m telling you, the talent is there.
Liverpool: Non-Losing Streak
It’s more than fair to say that Liverpool failed to meet expectations after being the favorite to dethrone Manchester City. Even so, the Reds have done a great job in the season’s final stretch, enough to qualify for the UEFA Europa League.
Nevertheless, the Reds failed to defeat Aston Villa last week despite being heavily favored in the Premier League odds. Liverpool almost lost, but Roberto Firmino saved the day with the equalizer, 1-1, in the 89th minute. Liverpool won possession with 67% and finished with five shots on target, two more than the Villa, so no need to worry about production.
Overall, we’re talking about a well-balanced squad. Liverpool is the third top-scoring team in the league with 71 goals, conceding 43 goals, the same as second-placed Arsenal.
Once again, Mohamed Salah had a wonderful season. The Pharaoh will finish as the team’s top scorer. He currently has 19 goals and leads the team in assists with 11. He’s the main reason to consider including the visitors in your Premier League picks.
Liverpool has only lost one of its last five games away from home, winning the last three with an 11-2 aggregate.
Southampton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head
Liverpool had no trouble fulfilling its role as the betting online favorite in the first meeting, only needing 45 minutes to seal the deal, a 3-1 victory with Darwin Nunez as Man of the Match after scoring a brace. Che Adams scored for Southampton.
Liverpool hasn’t had too much trouble defeating the Saints lately, winning nine of their last 10 encounters. That includes the last at St. Mary’s stadium.
The total for Sunday’s clash is set at 3½ goals with the over at Ev, which could further improve via Premier League live betting. The total has gone over 3½ goals in two of their last three meetings.
Southampton vs Liverpool Match Information
- Match: Southampton vs Liverpool
- Date/ Time: Sunday, May 28, 11:30 a.m. ET
- Location: St. Mary’s stadium, Southampton
- Southampton vs Liverpool Live stream: fubo.tv
Southampton vs Liverpool Betting Lines
Southampton vs Liverpool Picks and Prediction
One of the two isn’t going to enjoy the party, and I think it will be the home side. First, they’ve no motivation. Second, Liverpool recently defeated Leicester City and Leeds United on the road, the other two teams in the relegation zone, by at least three goals.
Forget about a stunner, the Reds will not only win but also cover.
Liverpool is listed at -260 in our Vegas Premier League lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Liverpool, you have a chance to win $38. The Southampton are +600, offering a chance to win $600 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Liverpool a 72.22% chance to win, with Southampton at 14.29%.