PSG started the season as expected. Two victories, most goals in the league, and scaring every other team by signing players like its FIFA Ultimate Team. On the other hand, Stade Brestois started better than expected. Last season, they barely made it out of the relegation zone. For them to be unbeaten after two games it’s a huge deal.
Brest will play host to PSG with one particular question in mind: Will Lionel Messi play? Let’s take a look at the latest news, stats, injury reports, and the Soccer Odds for Brest vs PSG. We’ve plenty of predictions for you to consider!
Game: Stade Brestois vs PSG
Location: Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Time: Friday, Aug. 20, 3 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Ligue 1 Betting Lines
|Stade Brestois||+2 -130||+950||3½ -110o||½ -145o/+115u|
|PSG||-2 Ev||-425||3½ -120u||2½ -130o/Evu|
Head to Head
- Previous Matches: 31
- Stade Brestois Victories: 3 (22 goals)
- PSG Victories: 17 (53 goals)
- Draws: 11
Last season, PSG defeated Stade Brestois three times. They won both Ligue 1 meetings with a 5-0 aggregate, and their domestic cup matchup 3-0. Mauro Icardi, Kylian Mbappe, and Keylor Navas were vital to achieve those victories. All three still play for PSG.
PSG owns an 8-2-0 record in their last 10 games against Brest. They scored 20 goals, allowed only five, and finished with a clean sheet five times.
Brest defeated PSG for the last time in the 1984-85 season. Their best result since is a 2-2 draw in the 2010-11 season.
Why bet on Stade Brestois?
It’s not only that they haven’t lost, but also that they drew against two very good teams (Lyon and Rennes). Both games ended 1-1, with Irvin Cardona and Jeremy Le Douaron scoring for Brest.
In order to avoid relegation, they signed goalkeeper Marco Bizot, and defenders Lilian Brassier and Jere Uronen. All three already won a spot in the starting lineup, adding more depth to the team.
They also signed a new head coach, Michel Der Zakarian. He previously coached Nantes, Reims, and Montpellier, so he knows the league pretty well. Last season, he led Montpellier to eighth place, only four points away from qualifying for the UEFA Europa League. The tournament is just getting started, but the mindset shift is clear.
Brest also started the season 2-0 against the spread and 0-2 over/under. Last year, they were slightly better when playing at home. They finished with an 8-4-7 record (3-4-12 on the road). For a team like this, it’s really important to win at home, otherwise, they’re doomed.
Paul Lasne and Sebastien Cibois are out due to injury. Their expected lineup is Marco Bizot; Ronael Pierre-Gabriel, Brendan Chardonnet, Lilian Brassier, Jere Uronen; Hiang’a Mbock, Hugo Magnetti, Franck Honorat, Romain Faivre, Irvin Cardona; Steve Mounie.
Why Bet on PSG?
The question should be, why not? PSG scored six goals in their first two games, and they did it without Neymar, Lionel Messi, and Angel Di Maria. That’s crazy enough, but that’s not all, Sergio Ramos and Gianluigi Donnarumma didn’t play either.
Most recently, they beat Strasbourg 4-2. Mauro Icardi has taken advantage of the absences and leads the team in scoring with two goals.
“We did everything needed from the get-go to take all three points. I’m feeling very good, I was very happy with the preseason that we were able to have. Everything is getting better and better,” said Icardi after their last game.
PSG also started the season 0-1-1 against the spread and 1-1 over/under. Curiously enough, last season they finished with a better record when playing on the road. They ended 13-3-3, while they finished 13-1-5 when playing at home.
Their roster is so good that manager Mauricio Pochettino can give some rest to several players and still have a very competitive squad.
Juan Bernat, Colin Dagba, and Sergio Ramos remain questionable due to injury. Lionel Messi isn’t expected to start, but he could play some minutes (not guaranteed). Their expected lineup is Keylor Navas; Achraf Hakimi, Thilo Kehrer, Presnel Kimpembe, Abdou Diallo; Danilo Pereira, Georginio Wijnaldum, Pablo Sarabia, Ander Herrera; Kylian Mbappe, Mauro Icardi.
Final Analysis and Predictions
PSG will be the sports betting favorite 99% of the time, and they deserve it. However, they already suffered a little in their first away match, and Stade Brestois is better than Troyes. Brest should try to take advantage of PSG’s absences. If there’s a game against them to go all-in is this one.
I expect a close one, in which both will score, and the total will go under. Don’t forget to check the Soccer Props to increase your winning chances. Take a shot on the correct score, half time/full time winner, and more!
Score Prediction: Stade Brestois 1 – PSG 2