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Top Picks for Italy vs Croatia Showdown at Euro 2024

A place in the EURO 2024 knockout stages will be at stake when Croatia and Italy go head to head at Red Bull Arena in Germany on Monday. Let’s look at the odds and look for the best soccer betting picks!


Top Picks for Italy vs Croatia Showdown at Euro 2024
Gianluca Scamacca of Italy - Marco Iacobucci / LiveMedia / DPPI

Croatia vs. Italy Game Information

  • Game: Croatia (0-1-1) vs. Italy (1-0-1)
  • Location: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Germany
  • Day/Time: Monday, June 24, 3 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch Croatia vs. Italy: Fox, FuboTV


Croatia vs. Italy Betting Odds 

pk, +½-12
pk, ½ Ev
O 2½ -110
U 2½ -110
O 1½ +168
Team Total
O 1½ +125
U 1½ -218
Team Total
U 1½ -160


The Croats dropped two points in a 2-2 draw with Albania, but a win over Italy will see them book their spot in the last 16. Ante Budimir is widely expected to replace Bruno Petkovic in the starting lineup while veteran Luka Modric should keep his place.

The Azzurri, on the other hand, produced an under-par performance in a 1-0 loss to Spain, with the team taking only one shot on target in the Veltins Arena clash.

Italy boss Luciano Spalletti is not expected to make any lineup changes, confirming Riccardo Calafiori in central defense and Davide Frattesi and Lorenzo Pellegrini as attacking midfielders behind Gianluca Scamacca.

Italy are favorites at +135 betting odds to win the match. You can watch the game on FOX or stream it on FuboTV on Monday at 3 p.m. ET.


Croatia vs. Italy Betting Tips

  • Croatia have come into the tournament on the back of a third-place finish in 2022’s World Cup.
  • The two sides have played nine times and Croatia are 3-1 up in wins, with the rest of the games drawn.
  • Just a single position is separating the two sides in the FIFA Rankings, Italy taking 9th spot and Croatia in 10th place.
  • When Croatia and Italy last met back in June 2015 in European Championship qualifying action, Monday’s opponents played out a 1-1 stalemate.
  • Including shipping five goals in their first two Euro 24 appearances, the Blazers have managed to muster just a single clean sheet in any of their last six outings.
  • Italy have managed to record more than a single strike in just one of their previous four appearances across all competitions.
  • Six of the previous seven meetings between Croatia and Italy have finished with under 2.5 goals.


Back High-Scoring Match Between Croatiam Italy

The Azzurri barely had a sniff in defeat to Spain but remain in a strong position to reach the knockout stages, needing to only match Albania’s result against already-qualified Spain to clinch a last-16 spot.

But Croatia have been fairly miserable. They were 3-0 down to Spain before halftime of their first game and then conceded an injury-time equalizer to Albania to leave them with just a point to their name and almost certainly needing to beat Italy.

Croatia may only have one point, and have been largely underwhelming, but caused Spain real problems in the second half of their opening game. They produced more fight against Albania before that late blow. Italy recovered well from an early goal to beat Albania but were simply overrun by Spain four days later.

Croatia have been a major bogey team for the Azzurri, who won their first meeting in 1942 but none since. We expect a high-scoring affair with this match deciding the fate of the two sides so both sides must enter this clash all guns blazing.

If you’re betting online, you should expect at least three goals in the match priced at -110 according to the latest soccer odds.


Value Bet Alert! Back Andrej Kramaric to Score

In two European Championship matches for Croatia, Andrej Kramaric has scored one goal and he will be the main threat against Italy.

In what is a major must-win showdown on Monday night, we could be treated to a nail-biting affair from the Red Bull Arena. Kramaric will definitely lead the attacking line and we expect him to find the back of the net.

If you’re betting online and you love your soccer props, you should back him to score at +300.



Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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