Tottenham are fourth in the English Premier League, considered by many the best league in the world. Nevertheless, they couldn’t defeat AC Milan, fifth in the Italian Serie A, in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Luckily for all soccer betting enthusiasts, that means we’re having a thriller on Wednesday, for which the Spurs come in as the favorites thanks to a -105 price.
Tottenham: Up and Down
Tottenham lost the first leg to AC Milan 1-0. Nevertheless, the Spurs bounced back by defeating West Ham United and Chelsea 2-0, both in the EPL. Later, they lost 1-0 to Sheffield United in the FA Cup. That means winning the UCL is pretty much all they have left.
Most recently, they lost 1-0 to Wolverhampton despite winning possession with 54 percent and taking 21 shots in total, six on goal. The gap between them and fifth-place Liverpool was reduced to only three points.
The thing with the Spurs is that their roster includes two of the best-attacking players in the business, meaning they shouldn’t be suffering so much. We’re talking about Harry Kane and Son Heung-min. Kane is the team’s top scorer in all competitions with 20 goals while Heung-min has scored nine.
They’re the main reason for you to consider including the Spurs in your soccer picks. There’s also the fact that they’ve been considerably better when playing at home, losing only one of their last five matches. In addition to winning the other four, they also finished with a clean sheet.
“It’s going to be tough; AC Milan are a really good side but we’re at home, with our fans, we’re going to be ready,” said Kane in an interview. As mentioned before, the Las Vegas soccer odds are also on their side thanks to a -105 price.
AC Milan: Best Shot
Winning the UCL is also AC Milan’s best shot at a championship this season. The Rossoneri are fifth in the Serie A, 18 points behind Napoli, the team atop the standings. Losing 2-1 to Fiorentina on Saturday didn’t help their case.
Prior to that, the Rossoneri won four straight matches, including the victory over Tottenham, by a 5-0 aggregate. They even defeated Atalanta, a very similar team to Tottenham. In other words, the talent is there.
Speaking of talent, you should keep an eye on Rafael Leao, who has scored nine goals in all competitions. There’s also Olivier Giroud, who has scored 11. Never underestimate a player because of his age.
Yes, the soccer lines aren’t on AC Milan’s side. They’re offering a +305 price, but let’s not forget that they’ve the advantage and Italian clubs are the best when it comes to defending. Plus, they finished the Group Stage 1-1-1 when playing on the road.
Tottenham vs AC Milan Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 5
- Tottenham Victories: 2 (4 goals)
- AC Milan Victories: 1 (3 goals)
- Draws: 2
As mentioned before, the Rossoneri fulfilled their role as favorites in the soccer odds by defeating the Spurs 1-0 in the first leg at San Siro. Brahim Diaz scored the lone goal only seven minutes into the game. The Spurs did everything in their power to even things up, but they weren’t effective in front of goal. They did win possession with 53 percent and finished with 11 shots in total, two more than the home side.
The last time they met in London, the Rossoneri managed to snatch a point thanks to a goalless draw. That would be enough for them to advance to the quarterfinals.
Tottenham vs AC Milan Match Information
- Match: Tottenham vs AC Milan
- Date: Wednesday, March 8th
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Tottenham Stadium, London
- Tottenham vs AC Milan Live Stream: fubo.tv
Tottenham vs AC Milan Betting Lines
Tottenham vs AC Milan Picks and Prediction
I don’t expect a goal-fest, but I do expect both teams to score, enough for the total to go over 2½ goals. That is precisely my betting online recommendation. There’s no tomorrow for the loser and there will be several certified scorers on the field in Kane, Leao, Giroud and Heung-min. Even Rodrigo Bentancur has scored six goals in all competitions, not bad for a defensive midfielder.
The Tottenham are listed at -105 in our Vegas Champions League lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Tottenham, you have a chance to win $95. The AC Milan are +305, offering a chance to win $305 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Tottenham a 51.22% chance to win, with AC Milan at 24.69%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.