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Home » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks and Parlays » UEFA Champions League Semis Promise Goals and Controversy

UEFA Champions League Semis Promise Goals and Controversy

Real Madrid and Manchester City Check in as Favorites

Zack Robinson by Zack Robinson
Apr 26, 2021, 7:03pm ET
in Soccer Picks and Parlays
Chelsea's head coach Thomas Tuchel and Chelsea's US player Christian Pulisic react at the final whistle during a UCL match

Ben STANSALL / AFP

Chelsea, Manchester City, PSG and Real Madrid combine for 79 goals in the current UEFA Champions League season, that’s why we’re aiming for extremely entertaining matches during the Semifinals. Also, it remains to be seen if the Super League controversy will have some effect, especially on Real Madrid.

Let’s take a look at the UEFA Champions League Semifinals Odds while making some predictions.

UEFA Champions League Betting Odds

Real Madrid vs Chelsea (Tuesday, April 27)

Team Handicap Moneyline Total Team Total
Real Madrid -½ +130 +130 2 -135o 1 -155o / +125u
Chelsea +½ -150 +235 2 +115u 1 +115o / -145 u
Draw +220

Real Madrid’s president Florentino Perez leads the now on-hold Super League project, and UEFA contemplated to kick them out of the Champions League, but it was too late. Now, Real Madrid is ready to face Chelsea, who’ll be playing the Semifinals for the first time since the 2013-14 season.

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Zinedine Zidane’s team road to this stage includes beating Atalanta in the Round of 16 and Liverpool in the Round of 8. Overall, Real Madrid has scored 18 goals, and they own a 4-0-1 record when playing at home, 4-1 against the spread and over/under.

They come from a tough draw against Real Betis in La Liga. Now, winning the Champions League looks like their best shot of not finishing the season trophyless.

Eden Hazard is finally back, but Sergio Ramos, Ferland Mendy, Federico Valverde and Lucas Vasquez remain out due to injury.

Chelsea eliminated Atletico Madrid and Porto, winning the first leg, on the road, in both cases. The “Blues” have scored 19 goals, and they own a perfect 5-0-0 record when playing away from home, 4-0-1 against the spread and 3-1-1 over/under.

They defeated West Ham United last Saturday in the English Premier League to climb to fourth place.

Mateo Kovacic is the only one out due to injury. According to Christian Pulisic, they’re more than ready: “Madrid have their history. They are a great team; it won’t be easy at all. We respect them but also believe in what we stand for and what we can do,” said the American midfielder to the press.

The English side leads the all-time series against Real Madrid 2-1-0, but they haven’t faced each other since 1998. I think the first leg ends with a draw (1-1).

Pick: Draw +220

PSG vs Manchester City (Wednesday, April 28)

Team Handicap Moneyline Total Team Total
PSG +½ -140 +200 3 +115o 1 -160o / +130u
Manchester City -½ +120 +120 3 -135u 1½ -115o / -115u
Draw +280

 

Despite playing at home, PSG comes in as the online sports betting underdog here, because they own a poor 2-1-2 record when playing at Parc des Princes, while Manchester City remains undefeated 4-1-0 when playing on the road.

PSG is 2-2-1 against the spread and 1-4 over/under at home, while the “Citizens” are 2-2-1 against the spread and 0-3-2 over/under on the road. Overall, each team has scored 21 goals, but PSG has two of the tournament’s top scorers in Kylian Mbappe with eight goals and Neymar with six.

“It’s almost impossible to control them during the full 90 minutes,” accepted City’s manager Pep Guardiola.

Manchester City just won the Carabao Cup and will win the English Premier League. PSG is still fighting in the Ligue 1, one point behind Lille with four games to go, and they could also win the French Cup.

Marquinhos is doubtful due to injury, but PSG has plenty of options to replace him. According to the latest Soccer Props, a 2-1 victory for Manchester City is offering a +700 price, while 2-1 for PSG is +900, proving how close this is expected to be.

Manchester City leads the all-time series against PSG 1-1-0, they met for the last time in the 2015-16 Champions League Quarterfinals. Another draw here (2-2).

Pick: Over 3 Goals (+115)

Parlay: Draw +220 and Over 3 goals at +115 at

BET THIS PARLAY!
Tags: Real Madrid
Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson is an experienced freelance writer/sports betting analyst who thinks and talks sports 24/7, that’s right, even when he sleeps. Zack has been writing insightful sports betting related articles for a decade and believes that every piece of information should be considered relevant, from the weather forecast to the stats, recent events, odds fluctuations and more; that’s why he makes sure to cover it all.

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