Believe it or not, Union Berlin are in the Bundesliga title race. The Iron Ones, who were promoted to the Bundesliga in the 2019-20 season, are three points behind Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.
On the other hand, Koln is fighting to get back into the top 10 and keep the UEFA Conference League hopes alive. As expected, the Iron Ones come in as the Bundesliga betting favorites, but the Billy Goats have put up a good fight when facing other top teams on the road.
Union Berlin: Top Defense
Last Sunday, Union Berlin lost 3-0 to Bayern Munich. All three goals were scored in the first half, meaning our BetUS prediction by Alex hit right on target. It could have been worse since the reigning champs won possession with 71 percent and took nine shots on goal.
Despite that result, we’re talking about one of the top defenses in the Bundesliga. The Iron Ones have allowed 27 goals in 22 games. Only Bayern Munich has conceded less with 21. Prior to losing to Bayern, Union Berlin managed to finish with a clean sheet against Ajax and Schalke 04.
Regarding the attacking unit, Sheraldo Becker is the main threat. He has scored seven goals, enough to be the team’s top scorer. There’s also Janik Haberer, who usually comes off the bench, but that hasn’t prevented him from scoring five goals.
Finally, we’ve the main reason why the Iron Ones are in control of the Las Vegas odds. They remain undefeated when playing at home with a 7-3-0 record. In other words, they’ve converted their home into a fortress.
Koln: Like a Roller Coaster
Last Saturday, Koln played host to Wolfsburg and lost 2-0. They won possession with 58 percent and took five shots on goal, one more than the visitors, but that wasn’t enough to get a better result.
Prior to that, they lost 3-0 to Stuttgart, the team sitting in 15th place. The thing is that they also crushed Frankfurt, the team sitting in sixth place, 3-0, and managed to draw 0-0 to fourth-place RB Leipzig. The talent is there.
We’re talking about a team whose top scorer has five goals. Well, there’s more than one top scorer since Florian Kainz, Ellyes Joris and Steffen Tigges have scored five goals each. Any of them can end up tilting the scales toward the Billy Goats.
That’s why the visitors at +340 is such a tempting deal to include in your Bundesliga picks. Yes, they’re 1-5-5 when playing away from home, but losing could leave them closer to the relegation zone than the top 10. That should be enough motivation to go all-in right from the start and start turning things around.
Union Berlin vs Koln Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 16
- Union Berlin Victories: 8 (19 goals)
- Koln Victories: 6 (27 goals)
- Draws: 2
These two collided in September at RheinEnergieStadion and Union Berlin won 1-0 thanks to Koln defender Timo Hubers, who scored an own goal only three minutes into the game. The Iron Ones could have won 2-0 but Jordan Siebatcheu missed a penalty.
The Iron Ones won six of the last seven minutes between the two. During that span, they scored in all matches and finished with a clean sheet three times. In other words, they’ve been very dominant.
Union Berlin vs Koln Match Information
- Match: Union Berlin vs Koln
- Date: Saturday, March 4th
- Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
- Location: Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin
- Union Berlin vs Koln Live Stream: fubo.tv
Union Berlin vs Koln Betting Lines
Union Berlin vs Koln Picks and Prediction
I do believe Koln is better than 12th place, but Union Berlin is highly motivated and not even Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund could defeat them at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. As if that wasn’t enough, they scored at least two goals in eight of their last 10 matches at home. I expect that trend to continue, which is why you should include the team’s total going over in your betting online ticket. One more thing: The Iron Ones haven’t lost two games in a row all season long.
The Union Berlin is listed at -110 in our Vegas Bundesliga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Union Berlin, you have a chance to win $91. The Koln are +340, offering a chance to win $340 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Union Berlina a 52.38% chance to win, with Koln at 22.73%.