USA vs Mexico Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Clash of Titans in CONCACAF Nations League
In 2019, USA and Mexico collided in the final of the CONCACAF Nations League. Now, they’ll collide in the semifinals. The team that comes out on top will face the winner between Canada and Panama. Playing at home gives the USA a slight advantage in the soccer odds, but keep in mind that Mexico leads the all-time series and has scored 58 more goals.
USA: On a Roll
As expected, the USA was the betting online favorite during the group stage. They finished with 10 points thanks to a 3-1-0 record and atop Group D, eliminating El Salvador and Grenada.

No other team scored more goals than the USA with 14. Precisely, that’s the main reason for you to consider including them in your soccer picks, while their defensive unit has only conceded two goals.
The USA has only lost one of its last 20 home games and it was a friendly match. Plus, they’re riding a five-match unbeaten streak against Mexico.
This squad has talent to spare, including Sergino Dest, Antonee Robinson, Weston McKennie, Gio Reyna, Christian Pulisic and Tim Weah. All of them play for a European club. In fact, the coaching staff didn’t call up Jesus Ferreira, the tournament’s top scorer with four goals. That’s how good this team is.
All of the above explains why they’re offering a +140 price to win straight up, which honestly is a bargain for a team practically invincible at home.
Mexico: Proven Winners
Every time Mexico comes in as the soccer betting underdog, it’s a great opportunity to make some cash. And trust me, it doesn’t happen very often, as Mexico has won the Gold Cup eight times.
El Tri won Group A after finishing 2-2-0 with eight goals for and three against.They drew 1-1 in Jamaica and won 2-0 in Suriname, eliminating both.
Seven different players have scored for Mexico in the current edition of the CNL. Hirving Lozano won’t be available for Thursday’s clash. He recently won the Italian Serie A with Napoli and needs a vacation. However, other stars that also play in Europe will be available, including Edson Alvarez, Guillermo Ochoa, Santiago Gimenez, Orbelin Pineda and Jorge Sanchez.
In the end, no matter who gets to play, El Tri will always be a competitive side. That’s why they’re such a good bet at +195.
USA vs Mexico Head-to-Head
USA and Mexico have collided 75 times, with Mexico owning the advantage thanks to a 36-17-22 record. During that span, Mexico scored 145 goals, while the USA scored 87.
Their last meeting was in April, a friendly match that ended 1-1. Regarding the CNL, they met in the 2019 Grand Finale, and USA won 3-2 in overtime.
The total for Thursday’s clash is set at two goals, with the over offering a -145 price, which could further improve via live betting.
USA vs Mexico Match Information
- Match: USA vs Mexico
- Time/Date: 10 p.m. ET, Thursday, June 15
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Nevada
- USA vs Mexico Live Stream: fubo.tv
USA vs Mexico Betting Lines
USA vs Mexico Picks and Prediction
The Las Vegas odds aren’t lying. Right now, the USA is the best team in CONCACAF. Nevertheless, if there’s a team that isn’t afraid of them is Mexico. That’s why I expect El Tri to put up a good fight, enough to score and contribute for the total to go over but not to pull off the stunner. Besides Lozano, striker Raul Jimenez won’t be available either.
Interim head coach BJ Callaghan will lead USA. Winning the CNL would be huge for him and would give him a chance to stay for good. In other words, the home side will go all in right from the start.
The USA are listed at +140 in our Vegas soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on USA , you have a chance to win $140. The MEXICO are +195, offering a chance to win $195 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives USA a 41.67% chance to win, with MEXICO at 33.90%.