All eyes will be on Estadio de Mestalla when Valencia and Real Madrid go head to head in the La Liga derby. Our sportsbook offers the best markets and live La Liga betting odds in the Spanish top-flight league.
Valencia: Fighting for Survival
Valencia vs Real Madrid to Mestalla in a better position than they were in just over a week ago but Ruben Baraja’s troops are still not quite out of the relegation fight. A late goal from reserve player Alberto Mari, making just his second appearance for the senior side, handed Valencia a vital 2-1 win against Celta in Vigo last weekend.
That result enabled the team to move away from the red zone as they are now sitting 14th in the standings. But Valencia is still not safe and while the writing might already be on the wall for fellow strugglers Espanyol and Elche, the team is only three points clear of the drop zone. Valencia will probably need at least six points from their last four league games to guarantee their presence in the top flight next season.
Valencia has some problems in the squad. Two starting center-backs from the last game, Gabriel Paulista and Mouctar Diakhaby, will have to serve a suspension in the match against Real Madrid. We should expect Eray Comert and Cenk Ozkacar in the starting lineup. Also, Marcos de Sousa is injured and will sit this one out.
Valencia is high in confidence and spirits after managing the climb over the relegation cut-off. Now they will be eager to keep the streak going and we expect them to find the back of the net against Los Blancos and we can’t trust them enough in order to include them in our La Liga picks and parlays.
De nombre, Alberto
De apellido, Marí
— DAZN España (@DAZN_ES) May 14, 2023
Real Madrid: Waiting for Season to End
Real Madrid’s season is basically over. In La Liga, they can’t catch first-place Barcelona and are out of the Champions League. On Wednesday. Real Madrid lost 4-0 in the Champions League semifinal on the road against Manchester City. Actually, Carlo Ancelotti’s team didn’t just lose, they were humiliated from the first minute.
Real Madrid doesn’t have any missing players right now. But they had their most important game on Wednesday and they lost. Ancelotti is expected to rotate the squad and give rest to their most important players, especially Luka Modric and Karim Benzema. If you’re betting online, don’t rush to back the visitors here.
With the league out of reach and Champions League football already guaranteed for next term, the only objective Los Blancos have on the domestic front is making sure they lock down second place in the table behind Barcelona. Ancelotti’s future at Real Madrid still remains undecided. The Italian’s contract at the Santiago Bernabeu expires in the summer of 2024 but he might get sacked at the end of the season.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head
The latest head-to-head fixture between the two sides ended in a 2-0 win for Real Madrid, and they also won four of the past five mutual encounters. But it’s very important to note that the hosts lost just three games at this venue in the past 10 years against Ancelotti’s troops.
Key to Valencia’s late-season revival has been improved home form as they’ve lost only one of their last six games as hosts and, impressively, only one of the last four against Los Blancos at this venue. That defeat did come last term, although both teams scored in each of the last 10 meetings at this venue.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Match Information
- Match: Valencia (10-7-17) vs Real Madrid (22-5-7)
- Location: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
- Day/Time: Sunday, May 21, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Valencia vs Real MadridLive stream: fubo.tv
Valencia vs Real Madrid Betting Lines
Valencia vs Real Madrid Picks and Prediction
Los Blancos enter this clash as favorites being priced at +115 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest La Liga odds while the goal line is set at 2½.
The back-to-back fixtures against Manchester City are sure to take their toll, and more importantly, Real Madrid has nothing left to play for in the league. On top of that, we expect a squad rotation on Sunday against Valencia. One thing that can be expected from Los Blancos with no worry is goals. They have been the best offense this season in the whole competition and scored the most, so we should see a high-scoring affair with at least three goals on the scoresheet.
The Valencia CF are listed at +220 in our Vegas La Liga lines . This means that if you wager $100 on Valencia CF, you have a chance to win $220. The Real Madrid CF are +115, offering a chance to win $115 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Valencia CFa 31.25% chance to win, with Real Madrid CF at 46.51%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.