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Valencia Plays Host to Real Madrid, Winner Gets First Place

Currently they Share the Top Spot with Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid fighting for first place is no surprise. Valencia being in the same fight is a huge surprise. Last season, Valencia almost finished in the relegation zone, but now they look like a new team. This Sunday, they’ll have an incredible opportunity to show they truly belong to the elite. Beating Real Madrid would allow them to take first place all for themselves.

I’m telling you; it’s going to be a game to remember. Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and soccer betting odds for Valencia vs Real Madrid. We’ve plenty of predictions for you to consider!

Real Madrid's Brazilian forward Rodrygo controls the ball during the UEFA Champions League match
MIGUEL MEDINA / AFP

Game: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Location: Mestalla, Valencia

Time: Sunday, Sept. 19, 3 p.m. ET

Television: beIN Sports

Live Stream: fuboTV

La Liga Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Valencia +½ -110 +285 3 +115o ½ -240o/+190u
Real Madrid -½ -110 -110 3 -135u 1½ -130o/Evu
Draw +300

Head to Head

  • Previous Matches: 191
  • Valencia Victories: 51 (239 goals)
  • Real Madrid Victories: 101 (356 goals)
  • Draws: 39

 The last time they met, Real Madrid won 2-0 with goals from Karim Benzema and Toni Kroos. That was their second meeting during the 2020-21 season, Valencia won the first one 4-1. You read it right, 4-1. Carlos Soler scored a hat trick to win Player of the Match.

Real Madrid owns a 5-2-3 record in their last 10 meetings with Valencia. They scored in each game (19 goals in total), allowed 13, and finished with a clean sheet three times. The total went over in seven of those games.

Los Blancos won at Mestalla for the last time in the 2017-18 season.

Why bet on Valencia?

I hope you’ve been including Valencia in your soccer picks because they’ve been playing really well. They own a 3-1-0 record, good enough to share first place with Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. Those are the two favorites to win the title.

Valencia has scored nine goals and allowed only two. Only Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla have allowed less goals than them. Most recently, they crushed Osasuna 4-1 with four different players scoring the goals.

Carlos Soler remains their best player. He leads the team in scoring with three goals. He also leads the team in assists with two. Honestly, it’s a miracle that he’s still playing for Valencia.

Last season, manager Jose Bordalas coached Getafe, which means he knows La Liga well enough. Not needing time to adapt has been one of the keys to their recent success.

They also started the season 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 over/under. Not playing in any international competition has allowed them to focus on La Liga. Also, to be more rested than the powerhouses.

Denis Cheryshev remains out due to a knee injury; the rest of the team is ready to go. Their expected lineup is Giorgi Mamardashvili; Thierry Correia, Gabriel Paulista, Oscar Alderete, Jose Luis Gaya; Yunus Musah, Carlos Soler, Hugo Guillamon, Daniel Wass; Maximiliano Gomez, Goncalo Guedes.

Why Bet on Real Madrid?

Manager Carlo Ancelotti returned to lead Real Madrid to glory and they’re right on track. Scores and odds have been on their side in all competitions, including the UEFA Champions League.

Domestically, they also are 3-1-0, but they’ve scored 13 goals and allowed six. No other team has scored more goals than them. Karim Benzema leads the league in scoring with five goals. He’s followed by Vinicius Junior with four. Midweek, they beat Inter Milan 1-0 at San Siro thanks to a late goal from Rodrygo.

Ancelotti has made sure to include young talents such as Vinicius, Rodrygo, Miguel Gutierrez, and most recently Eduardo Camavinga. They’ve been playing so well that Eden Hazard has been relegated to the bench. Defensively, they haven’t missed Sergio Ramos nor Raphael Varane that much.

“This team not only has quality, it shows real commitment and that’s hugely important. The clean sheet helps our confidence from a defensive standpoint. All four of them at the back did brilliantly,” said the boss after their last game.

They also started the season 3-1 against the spread and over/under. Including the preseason, they scored at least one goal in six of their last seven games. Their roster is so talented that Marco Asensio, Luka Jovic, and Isco have also been coming off the bench.

Also, they’ve been winning without Toni Kroos, Ferland Mendy, Gareth Bale, and Marcelo, all injured. Their expected lineup is Thibaut Courtois; Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, David Alaba, Miguel Gutierrez; Federico Valverde, Casemiro, Luka Modric; Vinicius Junior, Karim Benzema, Lucas Vazquez.

Final Analysis and Predictions

Real Madrid always suffers in Valencia and this time it will not be the exception. I expect Valencia to pressure high and to win possession, at least the first 15 minutes. If Madrid can withstand that onslaught, they’ll win the match. I expect both to score and the total to push.

Don’t forget to check the props our sportsbook is offering for this and other games to increase your winning chances. Our score prediction is offering a +700 price. Here’s a freebie, go with 9-11 corners at +160.

Score Prediction: Valencia 1 – Real Madrid 2

Pick: Real Madrid -½ at -110

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