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Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Last Four Meetings Ended With a Draw

There’s only one team in La Liga that has lost each of its last five games: Valencia. No wonder Los Che fell into the relegation zone. Nevertheless, it could get out by defeating Real Sociedad, the team sitting in third place. Real Sociedad dominates the La Liga lines, even if it hasn’t been able to defeat Valencia since the 2019-2020 season.

Valencia: Bad Luck

Last Monday, Valencia lost 1-0 to Getafe. Valencia won possession with 55% but wasn’t effective in front of goal. The defense put up a good fight but yielded eight minutes before the end of the match.

Real Sociedad's Spanish midfielder Mikel Oyarzabal celebrates scoring the opening goal during the Spanish League football match between Real Sociedad and RC Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad's Spanish midfielder Mikel Oyarzabal / Ander Gillenea - AFP

Valencia’s last four defeats were by one goal. Its only loss by more than that was against Real Madrid. Valencia played the last 20 minutes with one less player and Los Blancos scored both goals in a two-minute span during the second half.

The good news, if you are considering including Valencia in your betting online ticket, is that it has been considerably better when playing at home. Four of its five victories were at Mestalla. Most recently, it crushed Betis, a team similar to Real Sociedad.

Valencia is offering a +215 price to win straight up. This team has talent, starting with Edinson Cavani, the club’s top scorer with five goals, but it has had bad luck.

Real Sociedad: Up and Down

Last Saturday, Real Sociedad drew 1-1 to Celta de Vigo after Robin Le Normand scored an own goal in stoppage time. Real Sociedad was up since the first half, thanks to Mikel Oyarzabal, and should’ve won since it played the last 20 minutes with one more player

Prior to that, it defeated Espanyol 3-2 on the road, with Takefusa Kubo, Alexander Sorloth and Leandro Cabrera (own goal) as the scorers. Sorloth is having a great season, enough to be among the league’s top scorers with nine goals. There’s also Mikel Merino, who leads the league in assists with seven.

Curiously enough, Real Sociedad has been considerably better when playing on the road, winning eight of its 11 matches. During that span, it only failed to score twice. Considering that, we could say that the +140 price it offers in the sportsbook to win is a freaking steal!

Last but not least, losing could send Real Sociedad to fourth place. That should be enough motivation for it to show no mercy.

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head

  • Previous Matches: 143
  • Valencia Victories: 59 (210 goals)
  • Real Sociedad Victories: 46 (184 goals)
  • Draws: 38

The first meeting between these two this season finished 1-1 on Nov. 6. Real Sociedad scored the opener only 10 minutes into the game thanks to Valencia’s defender Hugo Guillamon, who scored an own goal. Samuel Lino scored the equalizer 15 minutes later. Real Sociedad lost Aritz Elustondo in the 17th minute due to a red card.

Each of the last four meetings between these two finished with a draw. The total went under two goals in three of those matches. Summing up, forget about the 23-point gap between the two; you can expect a close match.

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Match Information

  • Match: Valencia vs Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, Feb. 25th
  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mestalla, Valencia
  • Valencia vs Real Sociedad Live Stream: fubo.tv

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Betting Lines

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Picks and Prediction

Again, forget about the standings. While Valencia is in the relegation zone, Los Che has only allowed 27 goals. That’s less than nine teams that are better positioned. I don’t expect Valencia to pull off the stunner, but I do expect it to win a point. Go ahead and include the draw in your La Liga picks. Luckily for you, it’s offering a better reward.

Valencia is listed at +215 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Valencia, you have a chance to win $215. The Real Sociedad is +140, offering a chance to win $140 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Valencia a  31.75% chance to win, with Real Sociedad at 41.67%.

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Match Detail

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