Wolfsburg will aim to stay perfect in the Bundesliga as it hosts Eintracht Frankfurt. The former is alone at the top of the Bundesliga for the time being and has built on the momentum from last season’s fourth-place finish.
Frankfurt hasn’t won yet in the Bundesliga and is listed as a heavy soccer betting underdog, at +330. Wolfsburg has better than even odds to win, at -120, while a draw is listed at +290.
Game: VfL Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Location: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany
Date/Time: Sept. 19, 1:30 p.m. ET
Head to Head
Wolfsburg defeated Eintracht 2-1 at the Volkswagen Arena last season behind a Wout Weghorst brace. Eintracht won a wild reverse fixture, 4-3. Wolfsburg is 6-3-1 in the last ten meetings.
Wolfsburg’s Impenetrable Defense
All things considered, Wolfsburg was fortunate to come away with a point vs Lille in the Champions League. The defending Ligue 1 champions outshot and out-possessed Wolfsburg and had a man advantage for the last half hour.
Center back John Anthony Brooks was sent off following a second yellow card stemming from an intentional handball. A Lille penalty in the dying embers of the match was also overturned by VAR.
Wolfsburg escaped with a 0-0 draw and continued its excellent defensive record to start the season. Through four matches, Wolfsburg is unexpectedly on top of the Bundesliga after a perfect start.
Die Wölfe have only conceded a single goal in the league, which came from a penalty. Keeper Koen Casteels has been immense thus far and kept three clean sheets as Wolfsburg has been one of the best soccer picks in any league.
Brooks will be available for selection for this match but will have to sit out Wolfsburg’s next Champions League clash. He’s been a stalwart in the back line along with Kevin Mbabu, Maxence Lacroix and Jérôme Roussillon.
Striker Wout Weghorst has picked up where he left off last season, when he scored 18 goals in 33 Bundesliga appearances. The big Dutchman has two goals in four appearances and is a dark horse pick to win the Golden Boot.
Frankfurt Struggling to Score Sans Silva
Frankfurt’s season kicked off with a 2-0 loss to third-tier SV Waldhof in the first round of the DFB-Pokal. Then came a 5-2 loss to Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga opener.
Since then, Frankfurt has drawn four consecutive matches in all competitions, including a 1-1 draw vs Fenerbahce in the Europa League midweek. Frankfurt put its best foot forward in the Thursday night meeting, meaning just two days of rest for its starting XI before taking on the first-place team in the Bundesliga.
Scoring has been an issue for Eintracht, who sold leading goal scorer Andre Silva to RB Leipzig over the Summer. Silva scored an absurd 28 goals in 32 Bundesliga appearances and it’s going to take time to fill his shoes.
Frankfurt brought in Norwegian winger Jens Petter Hauge on loan from AC Milan and former River Plate striker Rafael Borré to try to replace Silva’s production to mixed results.
Hauge has scored two goals already but Borré has failed to find the net so far. Frankfurt has been a team to avoid when betting online this season and that won’t change until its goal issues are solved.
At -120 in the sportsbook, Wolfsburg’s implied probability to win is a reasonable 54.5%. With a three-game clean sheet streak in all competitions and Frankfurt’s goal woes, Wolfsburg is more than capable of managing another shutout.
Three goals or more have been scored in just one of Wolfsburg’s five Bundesliga and Champions League games this season. Wolfsburg has also managed to score just 1.4 goals per game in those matches.
That makes the sportsbook under of 2½ goals an interesting play. I’d wager that it’s even more likely that it’s a low scoring game than Wolfsburg wins, so take under 2½ at the more favorable odds.