A world-class boxing event is on tap for this weekend. On Saturday, you can catch Saul “Canelo” Alvarez as he will be challenged by an excellent candidate, Callum Smith. Smith is currently an undefeated WBA and Ring Magazine super middleweight champion. Let’s dive into our Smith vs Alvarez betting preview so you can be informed when you’re betting online on this bout.
This event can dictate a few different outcomes. With both of these elite boxers going head to head, there is a lot on the line. Most importantly, Alvarez could hold four division titles with a win.
- Date: Saturday
- Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio
Smith vs Alvarez Betting Preview
Alvarez, with a victory against Smith, would make boxing news and solidify himself as an outright four-division world titleholder. No doubt he will be aiming for the head here.
Alvarez has put together one of the best boxing resumes we have seen in some time, as it consists of 53-1-2. Thirty-six wins have resulted in stoppage, meaning 17 have made it to the judges.
Alvarez’s deadliest attack will most likely happen with him closing into Smith’s body. Once he has delivered several rounds of this, he will be able to find any scenarios he wants.
Alvarez does appear to show a more competitive resume. Being this well-equipped shows why he is the favorite and why he is a legend.
Smith will experience a third opponent attempting to take his title. It does not seem that long ago when he claimed it with a knockout over George Groves in September 2018.
Smith has an undefeated record resulting in 27 wins. Nineteen of those wins have been by stoppage, with the other eight being decided by the judges.
Looking at the stats, you can depict that Smith could have a slight advantage of power over Alvarez. But it is only a two percent difference in knockout likelihood.
Furthermore, nothing against Smith, but the competition that Alvarez has experienced over the years is arguably significantly better than what Smith has been through. Below you will see the difference:
Canelo has amassed 29 more fights and has been a part of 268 more professional rounds overall. This is a reference to the 402 amount for Alvarez put against Smith’s 134 rounds.
Smith vs Alvarez Betting Preview: Odds
The market is loving Alvarez for a favorite. For the moneyline, BetUS Sportsbook has the odds currently sitting at:
- Smith +425
- Alvarez -650
* odds are subject to change
Smith vs Alvarez Betting Preview: Winner of This Matchup
We know that Smith is an exceptional boxer with great punching and superbly timed shots. He also stands over Alvarez at 6-3, versus around 5-9.
Smith also has some long arms, and this is going to create an angle that could potentially be awkward for Alvarez to expose. Look for this to be a minor issue for Alvarez once he is able to fight closer.
Another factor is that Smith is undefeated. He does not know what defeat tastes like, so he will be motivated to stay on top at all costs.
Breaking this down further, Smith has a compelling record. However, his complications in some fights have been more defensively rather than offensively.
For example, John Ryder put forth a huge competitive fight against Smith last year. He was able to close the gap and expose Smith’s weaknesses.
With that being said, Alvarez can do the same thing here and really do more damage on a larger scale. What most likely could happen is that these two will fight really close to the distance, with Alvarez taking it via knockout or the decision. Make sure to get your boxing bets in before this bout.
Smith vs Alvarez Betting Preview Pick
Alvarez wins via knockout, at -650